Dan Romero on Warpcast

Dan Romero pfp

Might end up being the correct analysis from last night (take or leave his assessment of the live players). > So with that context, I posit the strategy is entirely: destabilize and ultimately decapitate China. https://x.com/eastdakota/status/1909822463707652192

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Kyle pfp

Pretty similar to this one I saw. Seems plausible. Regardless what people think of Trump, the people around him like Bessent are not dumb and irrational. There is some strategy here, which we don't fully know yet. Whether it works or not remains to be seen, but it's premature to say we know either way. https://warpcast.com/banta/0x2d5b9424

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grunt.eth pfp

are they taking notes from fake tweets tho? did the 90 days strat come from the fox news interview question, the tweet got traction and pumped the market, then the admin was like... oooh that looks good lets try it for real

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osama pfp

better analysis than others. his assumption that US is self sufficient for food, water, oil is incorrect. wink wink, canada and mexico provide double digit % of that to US. he's also assuming that "us or them" is something countries will silently do/take. they're figuring alternatives. they have consumer numbers. and if they move away from foreign debt (world bank) they can reignite their markets. reality is most countries/diplomats are tired and will flip the bird in favor of whatever the "india + middle east + china" option looks like

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Icetoad 🍕 🎩 🐈 pfp

Icetoad 🍕 🎩 🐈

Nope. You're wrong. https://warpcast.com/icetoad.eth/0x31ab9167

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Kyle Tut pfp

The end goal https://warpcast.com/kyletut/0xe1c2be48

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tricil pfp

We should get the cloudflare dude here

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flick the dev 🎩📦 pfp

flick the dev 🎩📦

good starting assumptions for playing the game it's obvious how much trump wants his mar-a-lago accords (art of the deal), and never being serious about reciprocal tariffs based off of made up assumptions tracks once entering a real global trade war w/ china... no idea how that plays out

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Agost Biro pfp

> But if the whole world order suddenly aligns against them, what do they do? They invade Taiwan, because they don't have anything to lose anymore, and there isn't anything the US can do about it short of nukes. This will disrupt semiconductor supply chains for a long time and the US will depend on EU goodwill to repatriate as EU controls fab manufacturing. I myself have purchased all advanced chips products I'm planning to use in the next ~3 years.

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chris 🤘🏻 pfp

This is similar to how I am thinking about it - I think China is in the crosshairs, esp when you read A User's Guide to Restructuring The Global Trade System https://warpcast.com/ckurdziel.eth/0x563b179d

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David Norman🎩🔵 pfp

David Norman🎩🔵

I’m just enjoying the ride

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blaynem pfp

Us Americans truly need to get over this American exceptionalism bullshit. China has the manufacturing. China has a stable government. This is causing every country in the world to rethink USA relations. The USA will never win this, not how this admin is going about it.

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Icetoad 🍕 🎩 🐈 pfp

Icetoad 🍕 🎩 🐈

The Chinese have been diversifying their trade for years. They are prepared for this.

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Icetoad 🍕 🎩 🐈 pfp

Icetoad 🍕 🎩 🐈

There is no strategy. He's flying by the seat of his pants. Trump is just like Joe Rogan, he agrees with the last person he spoke with.

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Nicholas Charriere pfp

Nicholas Charriere

Disagree with assumption #4

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Alex Palmer pfp

@thatalexpalmer.eth

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‍‍ pfp

announced an hour ago 75 countries got their tariffs lowered to 10% for 90 days and China's tariffs raised to 125%

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LWatts pfp

“It’s the [attention] economy, stupid.” This troll is driven by an insatiable need for attention. Troll trolls, troll can be ignored. Troll becomes president of US, Americans cannot ignore. Troll trolls every nation on earth utilizing US economic power, nobody on planet Earth can ignore. Looking for deeper meaning is like saying the castaways on Gilligan’s Island represent the 7 deadly sins. You can find deeper meaning after the fact, but it’s not the real reason Ginger or the Professor are there.

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Mike | Abundance 🌟 pfp

Mike | Abundance 🌟

"Crazy" IS the strategy. If Trump is willing to erase trillions from global markets in the pursuit of a trade environment that's more favorable to the US, confronting such a strategy (instead of negotiating) is a very risky move for China (who is not known for risky moves). Unlike the previous "tariff war" - which in my view China won by devaluing its currency to offset tariff impacts - this time around China is in a much tougher economic position, while the US is likely to win regardless of China's response. If China raises tariffs to astronomical levels it would essentially decouple the two economies, which the US benefits from and China doesn't (Chinese manufacturing for the US market will just shift to other countries, and a small part of it will come back to the US). If they negotiate to lower tariffs, the terms would be more favorable to the US. This time around the US is a more agile player - only question may be how much market turbulence the public is willing to endure.

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