phil on Warpcast

Content pfp

https://opensea.io/collection/books-39

0 reply

0 recast

5 reactions

phil pfp

Welcome @wildideaman! Robin Hanson is a professor of economics at GMU, blogger at overcomingbias.com, and one of the leading experts and thinkers behind prediction markets. He has agreed to do an AMA for the /books channel. Reply with your questions. :)

46 replies

92 recasts

175 reactions

phil pfp

what do you believe is your most underrated idea?

1 reply

1 recast

26 reactions

phil pfp

what do you think is the most likely explanation for the UAP phenomenon?

1 reply

0 recast

4 reactions

phil pfp

@wildideaman why do you think progress in our understanding physics has stalled relative to expectations from the middle of the 20th century? are we just limited by experimental data & more expensive machines, or is there a deeper problem in our ability to come up with new theories?

1 reply

0 recast

3 reactions

phil pfp

@vitalik.eth any questions for Robin while we have him?

0 reply

0 recast

5 reactions

horsefacts 🚂 pfp

horsefacts 🚂

@horsefacts.eth

There's a quote from Bryan Caplan on your Wikipedia page: "When the typical economist tells me about his latest research, my standard reaction is 'Eh, maybe.' Then I forget about it. When Robin Hanson tells me about his latest research, my standard reaction is 'No way! Impossible!' Then I think about it for years." Who is Robin Hanson's Robin Hanson?

1 reply

0 recast

15 reactions

Jonny Mack pfp

@wildideaman have you changed your mind about anything recently? if so, what?

1 reply

0 recast

6 reactions

JB Rubinovitz ⌐◨-◨ pfp

JB Rubinovitz ⌐◨-◨

Do you think Polymarket is providing the most accurate election predictions? Why or why not?

2 replies

0 recast

6 reactions

kia pfp

what should have a harberger tax?

2 replies

0 recast

5 reactions

Goldy pfp

Why is it important for everyone to understand futarchy? and how would you describe futarchy in 1 sentence to those unfamiliar with prediction markets? (ps: huge fan + so excited to see you on FC)

1 reply

0 recast

5 reactions

horsefacts 🚂 pfp

horsefacts 🚂

@horsefacts.eth

OK, last one: are there any ideas from your "Alternative Institutions" that might be uniquely enabled by Ethereum or smart contracts? https://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/altinst.html

1 reply

0 recast

4 reactions

androidsixteen pfp

@androidsixteen.eth

In a world where anyone can spin up permissionless prediction markets and provide liquidity, how do we navigate societally destabilizing use cases like incentivizing assassinations? https://x.com/typesfast/status/1847008143408353321

1 reply

0 recast

4 reactions

horsefacts 🚂 pfp

horsefacts 🚂

@horsefacts.eth

Have LLMs changed or challenged your ideas from "The Age of Em?" Are LLMs just a kind of very low-fidelity Em? How good does an LLM need to be to sufficiently "emulate" a human?

1 reply

0 recast

4 reactions

Jason pfp

What was a seminal moment for you in your career that brought you to prediction markets and being an expert on them?

1 reply

0 recast

2 reactions

Gökhan Turhan pfp

@wildideaman heard you don't like the nomenclature 'prediction markets' you yourself ordained. what would you call them today?

0 reply

0 recast

1 reaction

Jonny Mack pfp

@wildideaman what/where do you turn for inspiration? how do you think new thoughts?

1 reply

0 recast

1 reaction

FluffheadChaser pfp

FluffheadChaser

@fluffheadchaser

What do you see as the biggest barriers to wider adoption of prediction markets to improve decision making in business and government?

2 replies

0 recast

1 reaction

horsefacts 🚂 pfp

horsefacts 🚂

@horsefacts.eth

Do today's prediction markets suffer from a low status association with gambling and crypto? Should we seek to make prediction markets more "respectable?"

1 reply

0 recast

1 reaction

Rich pfp

What economic books should we read noơadays?

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

grin pfp

@wildideaman what’s the most likely solution to cultural drift that doesn’t involve much of humanity dying?

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction