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phil
@phil
Welcome @wildideaman! Robin Hanson is a professor of economics at GMU, blogger at overcomingbias.com, and one of the leading experts and thinkers behind prediction markets. He has agreed to do an AMA for the /books channel. Reply with your questions. :)
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JB Rubinovitz ⌐◨-◨
@rubinovitz
Do you think Polymarket is providing the most accurate election predictions? Why or why not?
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Robin Hanson
@wildideaman
I’d generally expect the markets with more money at stake to be more accurate, but don’t have further opinions.
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Elie
@elie
For liquid markets, there can't be major differences otherwise you get arbitrage opportunities.
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