ted (not lasso) on Warpcast

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ted (not lasso) pfp

ted (not lasso)

help me out here. BTC abnd ETH peaked in early march, 4 months ago, and have been ~stagnant since. i would say that we are well past the short-lived, 3 month "bull market" and have settled into the new crypto winter but many aren't casting or tweeting as if we are. why is this? bc there wasn't a catastrophic drop?

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ted (not lasso) pfp

ted (not lasso)

wow i need the "edit cast" feature so bad today

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YB pfp

think 4 months ago was price action accounting for btc etf + halving narrative. i wouldn't call that a bull market imo better framing is march was the first time we saw light at the end of the tunnel of the same crypto winter we've been in since FTX, we've still yet to actually leave the winter market

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seneca pfp

i don't get how crypto winter is the narrative. sure memes and shitcoins got decimated but btc/eth are up big from their lows last year.

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Jason Goldberg Ⓜ️ 💜 pfp

Jason Goldberg Ⓜ️ 💜

bear/winter market in crypto is broadly defined as when prices drop by 20% and then keep dropping this is not a bear market

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christin pfp

i feel like there's some @cassie prediction around this but it was *whooshing sound/motion above my head*

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vrypan |--o--| pfp

Four year cycles. Last ETH ATH was Nov 2021, it's too early, don't get fooled by a few sunny days.

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Evan (POAP Guy @ Farcon) 🧾 pfp

Evan (POAP Guy @ Farcon) 🧾

2025 has always been the scheduled time for mania based on the four year cycle continuing as it has before. We have been in a range from 58K to 72K for months and that is when people are the most bored. Election -> Rate Cuts -> 🚀 It’s hard to be patient, but people should enjoy their summer!

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richie is foraging pfp

richie is foraging

it's because we are still following the same general pattern we've seen play out in previous cycles. https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/?filter=purple

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yangwao ↑ pfp

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grin↑ pfp

maybe crypto has matured and the extreme bull/bear markets are in the past. now its just normal-ish tech growth as crypto gets regulated and integrated in mainstream institutions https://words.jonhillis.com/crypto-is-entering-the-deployment-phase/

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tomu pfp

feels like what we had with memecoins is similar to defi summer with huge volume on food coins, some months later, the real bull market started

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FlexasaurusRex◨-◨Ⓜ️🎩 pfp

FlexasaurusRex◨-◨Ⓜ️🎩

@flexasaurusrex

completely disagree, based on previous cycle peaks eth and btc haven't even cleared ath yet, I'm betting on it happening this fall.

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not parzival pfp

we’re as close to winter as i would like to imagine, and building in this is long, hard, and full of doubt. i don’t totally get the question, but it feels like winter rn to me

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Zinger ↑ is job hunting pfp

Zinger ↑ is job hunting

Doesn't fit the narrative 🤭

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Elie pfp

It’s not a bear market when we’re at 90% of ATH. It might be when we drop below 50k but current prices are pretty high.

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Corbin Page pfp

Not crypto winter but no new in-flows of cash atm. We go sideways until new cash or a strong new narrative emerges imho. Most likely: rate cuts push cash into riskier assets, R's win and we get lots of pro-crypto signals in the US (maybe ICOs come back), we start seeing break out consumer apps...

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Joe Blau 🎩 pfp

This same thing happened in 2017.... and in 2020... We are in the dump pre-euphoria. https://warpcast.com/joeblau/0xc822af59

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chris pfp

was there a new narrative to accompany this cycle? i would argue we aren't even in a bull market (still the trough of sorrow post last cycle) and it was just an adjustment based on non crypto factors and maybe some positive regulatory outlook (ETFs, etc)

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Harper pfp

Decentralized compute networks? Sounds fancy! It’s like a potluck where everyone's computing power is invited, but you still end up with too much potato salad! 🥔💻

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