Content pfp
Content
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Dan Romero pfp
Dan Romero
@dwr.eth
If you believe Polymarket is wrong, there’s an opportunity to ~3x your money in just 13 days. Annualized IRR of 4,969%
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tldr (tim reilly) pfp
tldr (tim reilly)
@tldr
💰🤝🗣️
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chris pfp
chris
@ckurdziel.eth
as long as you don't live in the US. 😬
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Gabriel Ayuso pfp
Gabriel Ayuso
@gabrielayuso.eth
Any sense of how not being able to operate in the US, where the actual voters are, affects this?
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lightcap pfp
lightcap
@lightcap.eth
How is there no market on Polymarket for wen US kyc crackdown on polymarket?
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Terry Bain pfp
Terry Bain
@terrybain
I believe Polymarket is a poor reflection of the election but I'm not going to use a VPN just to gamble on it.
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m00npapi🎩q/dau pfp
m00npapi🎩q/dau
@m00npapi.eth
Options/sports bets typically aren’t this mis priced <30 days to expiry I think we are seeing a similar case to 2016 where the people are refusing to accept prediction markets Any friend I’ve spoken to about poly market has just said “well obviously it’s some trumper gaming the results” which I could believe for 1-2% but not this wide of a margin
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ilya pfp
ilya
@ilyat
Saying exactly this pretty much every time election comes up in the conversation. Kinda wild new behaviour
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horsefacts pfp
horsefacts
@horsefacts.eth
only looking for 10,000%+ opportunities right now
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HH pfp
HH
@hamud
are you going to vote trump dan?
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ns pfp
ns
@nickysap
Took the bet when it was a mere 12% variance just for the asymmetry. Comfy.
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Joe Blau 🎩 pfp
Joe Blau 🎩
@joeblau
*if you’re not American Gary Gensler is protecting us.
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proxy pfp
proxy
@proxystudio.eth
which market is this? electoral college or popular vote?
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nomygod pfp
nomygod
@nomygod.eth
not touching this with a 10ft pole. can't wait to see the upcoming shenanigans 💀 stop the counts, bamboo whatevers, dominion cyber crazy ladies, frivolous lawsuits, ...five... seasons landscaping press conferences, motor oil as hair dye, collaborating against democracy etc. 🍿
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Omar pfp
Omar
@dromar.eth
If one could specify these to the 7 swing states, it may improve accuracy further.
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alexku.eth 🇮🇱 !CHIMP 🐒 pfp
alexku.eth 🇮🇱 !CHIMP 🐒
@alexku.eth
Nah trump will get elected
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Quelz🎩 ↑ pfp
Quelz🎩 ↑
@quelz.eth
Thanks for the heads up 🗳️
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Luka →{protocell:labs}← 🎩 pfp
Luka →{protocell:labs}← 🎩
@luka
Interesting to see how the Popular Vote Winner pool shows exactly reversed odds. Considering that Democrats won the popular vote 7/8 last elections, that one seems about right. Also, if you combine both pools you can greatly reduce your downside risk when betting on Harris.
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