Nick Tomaino🎩 on Warpcast

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Nick Tomaino🎩 pfp

Nick Tomaino🎩

Prediction markets have resonated with me since I started in crypto 12 yrs ago. It was initially bc I was a degen & wanted quick cash. Now I’m using prediction markets daily not to bet but as an info consumer to better understand the world. Augur, Veil & others failed. Polymarket now working. How can we accelerate?

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Xen Baynham-Herd pfp

Xen Baynham-Herd

Prediction markets that allow people to gain indirect exposure to private companies via publicly verifiable and hard-to-fake metrics. E.g. go long Farcaster by betting on Warpcast DAU growth.

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Henry Hirshland

Polymarket frames

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Jonny Mack pfp

been trying to wrap my head around: 1) does it matter that someone bets on the underdog because the potential payout is outsized, not because they believe they’ll win? 2) how is a "prediction market" different from sports betting? isn’t it just a fancy term to describe the same thing wrt other aspects of society?

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grin pfp

i expect any market that gets big enough to get shut down by the US govt. whats different about polymarket that makes it work?

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Giuliano Giacaglia

Prediction markets are the best way for me to see what is likely going to happen in the future!

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↑langchain 🎩 pfp

↑langchain 🎩

The social aspect of prediction markets really appears to be what is key - mobile betting platforms capitalize on this well. It's an augmentation of the typical watching experience + local social behavior + ecosystem around it (podcasts, youtube, etc)

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Varun Srinivasan

The stock market is a prediction market on the future value of companies, and it’s often irrational and inaccurate, especially around emotionally charged topics. Won’t prediction markets suffer the same fate?

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nicovrg pfp

you should join /futarchy

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Jakub pfp

Excited about making prediction markets feel more like a game and working on a consumer friendly UX

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Enjoyer 🎩 pfp

Why do you think Augur and Veil didnt work previously while Polymatket worked?

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jesse.base.eth 🔵 pfp

jesse.base.eth 🔵

1000% - so excited about prediction markets.

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amtwo 🎩 pfp

Polymarket Plug-in that allows you to see related prediction markets to the content on your Twitter feed, linked to your account with an ability to make a bet from the feed itself.

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Rumblestiltskin

@rumblestiltskin.eth

An IPFS frontend so people are not geo-blocked.

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tk pfp

Unconventional opinion: leverage.

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pes🎩 pfp

Used all of them, maybe the very first user of all of them :). Poly is good now, but Augur was one of if not the only trustless solution here. Quite strange to see that funders stopped funding the project. Despite the fact that Augur didnt receive enough traction, it was a unique project that had no analogues.

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OxBased pfp

For a prediction market to succeed, it is essential to ensure unrestricted market creation and decentralized settlement of wagers. Otherwise, it will be similar to some betting company with crypto deposits.

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freezer pfp

Its currently a pretty big market on the sports side (draftkings at 15b valuation, ~50 million users), but i'm excited to see prediction markets for all aspects of life. I like your thoughts on using it to better understand the world. In a sea of clickbait info, it provides 'value' and 'confidence' to information.

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Rick pfp

With frames, could you cast a particular prediction market to get it more visibility and let people enter that market via the frame?

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Ayush pfp

💯 Started playing with manifold last year, thinking of moving to polymarket now (to place bets)

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