Content pfp
Content
@
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
Dan Romero pfp
Dan Romero
@dwr.eth
Hypothetical: if they held the US presidential election tomorrow, who do you think would win? (Note: not who you want to win, but if you had to bet.)
52 replies
1 recast
49 reactions
Dan Romero pfp
Dan Romero
@dwr.eth
Prediction markets as an input 85% chance Biden is nominee https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n 47% chance Biden wins (dipped under 50% for first time in a while in early December) https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres
3 replies
0 recast
2 reactions
✳️ dcposch on daimo pfp
✳️ dcposch on daimo
@dcposch.eth
talked to a muslim friend who's voting for trump. she's centrist, works in tech. people underestimate how upset both 1. the left, and separately 2. muslims are about gaza. recent quality poll had Trump +10 in michigan
1 reply
0 recast
7 reactions
Thomas pfp
Thomas
@aviationdoctor.eth
No one below the age of 77, apparently
0 reply
0 recast
4 reactions
Sean Wince 🎩 pfp
Sean Wince 🎩
@seanwince
Trump. Biden has a very small base that he can truly depend on to turn out for him, since he betrayed nearly every faction of the left that came out for him in 2020. Plus the perception of him being senile. Also the incumbent is usually at a disadvantage when people perceive the economy as in a downtrend.
0 reply
0 recast
4 reactions
Matthew pfp
Matthew
@matthew
trump
0 reply
0 recast
4 reactions
phil pfp
phil
@phil
probably Biden the age thing is his biggest weakness right now, and forcing the issue before his cognitive decline becomes more apparent would be an advantage for him other candidates don't have enough mindshare yet and Trump's legal problems have bifurcated his voting base
1 reply
1 recast
1 reaction
Brian Kim pfp
Brian Kim
@brianjckim
trump
1 reply
0 recast
4 reactions
EulerLagrangodamus - bank/acc pfp
EulerLagrangodamus - bank/acc
@eulerlagrange.eth
I think Trump at this point
0 reply
0 recast
3 reactions
Nounish Prof ⌐◧-◧🎩 pfp
Nounish Prof ⌐◧-◧🎩
@nounishprof
Probably Biden but it’s a toss up. Anyone have Mark Cuban number? He’s the only one I can think of that could run as an independent and win. Please save us Mark.
5 replies
0 recast
3 reactions
YB pfp
YB
@yb
Trump
1 reply
0 recast
3 reactions
horsefacts pfp
horsefacts
@horsefacts.eth
Betting on a snap election tomorrow: buy Trump. Betting on November today: buy Biden, undervalued right now.
1 reply
0 recast
2 reactions
keccers pfp
keccers
@keccers.eth
Biden will win whenever they do this because his team is better at rigging elections. Obviously. 😜
0 reply
0 recast
2 reactions
tldr (tim reilly) pfp
tldr (tim reilly)
@tldr
Hard to see Trump losing
0 reply
0 recast
2 reactions
Alok Vasudev pfp
Alok Vasudev
@alok
Trump
0 reply
0 recast
2 reactions
danny iskandar pfp
danny iskandar
@daniskandar
For sure Trump
0 reply
0 recast
1 reaction
mk pfp
mk
@mk
Trump. Saying this from a swing state.
0 reply
0 recast
1 reaction
Ed O'Shaughnessy pfp
Ed O'Shaughnessy
@eddieosh
If he survives the multifactorial attack vectors, then Trump.
0 reply
0 recast
1 reaction
Ed pfp
Ed
@eds
Trump. The head-to-head polls would indicate he's stronger than ever, and the counterarguments sound like cope.
0 reply
0 recast
1 reaction
🗿 pfp
🗿
@bias
every tiktok youth that can vote isn’t touching Biden with a million mile pole after the Israel psyops so this is gonna be an insane time indeed
0 reply
0 recast
1 reaction