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Venkatesh Rao ☀️ pfp
Venkatesh Rao ☀️
@vgr
People overestimate the threat of reactionary anti-institutionalism in the first term, but underestimate it in the second term. The first Trump term threatened to be a wrecking ball but landed like a hand-swung sledgehammer in just a few places. The worst damage (SCOTUS capture) was dealt by McConnell’s senate and Federslist society, not Trump. The second term looks like a moderated, mellowed rubber mallet but will likely land like a wrecking ball.
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Dan Romero pfp
Dan Romero
@dwr.eth
Potentially the first president in the modern era not worried about re-election?
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Venkatesh Rao ☀️ pfp
Venkatesh Rao ☀️
@vgr
Wouldn’t that be any 2-termer?
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Dan Romero pfp
Dan Romero
@dwr.eth
They usually don't have as strong of a second term majority. > The last four second-term presidents were, on average, 30 percent less successful on House votes. George W. Bush was 41.4 percent less successful with House members during his second term, followed by Obama at 38.1 percent. Clinton and Reagan came in at 20.6 percent and 20.1 percent less successful, respectively. https://rollcall.com/2024/02/26/data-suggest-biden-or-trump-may-struggle-with-congress-in-second-term/
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