People overestimate the threat of reactionary anti-institutionalism in the first term, but underestimate it in the second term. 

The first Trump term threatened to be a wrecking ball but landed like a hand-swung sledgehammer in just a few places. The worst damage (SCOTUS capture) was dealt by McConnell’s senate and Federslist society, not Trump. 

The second term looks like a moderated, mellowed rubber mallet but will likely land like a wrecking ball.

Blogger at ribbonfarm.com, running summerofprotocols.com, host of /gloom ☀️

Potentially the first president in the modern era not worried about re-election?

They usually don't have as strong of a second term majority.

> The last four second-term presidents were, on average, 30 percent less successful on House votes. George W. Bush was 41.4 percent less successful with House members during his second term, followed by Obama at 38.1 percent. Clinton and Reagan came in at 20.6 percent and 20.1 percent less successful, respectively.

https://rollcall.com/2024/02/26/data-suggest-biden-or-trump-may-struggle-with-congress-in-second-term/

Given they didn’t repeal Obamacare last time, seems unlikely?

If they nuke filibuster, then Dems pack the court next time.

Ah you mean he might win bigger this time than in 2016?

Maybe. 

I’m more concerned about the house and senate than potus tbh. If gop gets all 3, it’s full wrecking ball scenario