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tldr (tim reilly)
@tldr
If Trump wins decisively, I’m never taking polls seriously again
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Alex Comeau
@alexcomeau
I have a feeling this election will either validate prediction markets for elections vs conventional polling OR have the opposite effect
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tldr (tim reilly)
@tldr
I’m almost more interested in this meta event than the election itself
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Alex Comeau
@alexcomeau
Same here, since the decoupling of polling and prediction its going to make for a real fascinating study. Also IF prediction markets have been manipulated and are not tied to the truth this is a massive arbitrage opportunity.
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