If Trump wins decisively, I’m never taking polls seriously again

One is poll aggregator, one is betting aggregator, frequented by people that are 1) heavily in crypto, and 2) heavily favor Trump bcs they think he will have a better impact for crypto. 

You cannot compare the two.

playing /bracket, assisting /bracky, talking /greatbooks

Crypto enthusiast, ethics, movies and photography.

Founder of /gentlemanswagers

If Trump actually wins decisively, would you change your opinion?

18 days ago me is an idiot that needs to change their opinion, I guess. 

Would you look at the size of the foot in my mouth??

About the polymarket thing? Yes, I tend to rethink my opinions if confronted with facts, and him winning decisively would be facts (if not stolen election, of course) . I mean, I don't see a way that a win THAT decisive actually comes, so it's tough to even think about it. 

But IMO such a huge difference (what was it, 24 pts or sth similar) comes solely bcs people that are in crypto and pro Trump, are also more likely to bet in such an aggregator. Just my two cents, I don't have a source on that.

It's the same as asking a person from a landlocked country, that never left that same country, if they ever met a pirate.