IMHO probability in crypto and AI in 2024:

Convexity: E = WC

Online Learning: E = o(WC)

Auctions, Staking, RL: E/WC <= Poly(1/n), Expected/Best Case >= c’Poly(1/n)

Neural nets, PoW, ZK, FHE: Pr[|X - WC| < ε] <= exp(-E)

MEV: BC - E >= 1/n^c


WC = Worst Case
E = Expected
BC = Best Case
n = dimensionality

ヽ(⌐■_■)ノ♪♬ @ @gauntlet/🤖Ventures/tldr/Aera \\ ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Struggling with the nature of randomness \\ main: @gaa \\ /red-bull /defi-research maxi

some takeaways (I think?) 

- terminally online ftw 
- opsec has a tailwind 
- searchers have more searching to do

You are not a drop in the ocean, you are the entire ocean in a drop - Rumi

What % are of FC can read this? And what % of the general public can read this?

I dunno wtf any of that means but LFG $SOL and $JUP

Equation builder composer action - who is building this?

def crypto_ai(year, convexity):
    if convexity: return WC
    return min(1/n**c, exp(-E))

crypto_ai(2024, False)