keccers on Warpcast

keccers pfp

Trump slump: your stocks will go down, your groceries won’t get any cheaper, and whatever King Elon wants, he gets

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BrixBountyFarm 🎩 pfp

BrixBountyFarm 🎩

oh ma stocks s and p up 23% ytd still pretty good for many folks. at some point the lights will go out

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keccers pfp

I think this next Trump presidency is going to be nonstop 📉📉📉📉📉📉📉📉📉📉📉📉📉📉📉

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BrixBountyFarm 🎩 pfp

BrixBountyFarm 🎩

oh how lovely I'm often fighting pessimism and bearishness when it comes to markets and the economy as a whole. so many headwinds for a big portion of americans at the moment.

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keccers pfp

Matthew is more optimistic he says we have 1 year ish b4 pain https://warpcast.com/matthewb/0x8a9aa2f3

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matthewb.eth pfp

6 months to a year, imo

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matthewb.eth pfp

but also worth noting that I could care less about trad markets since I have no exposure in my view they have less upside in 2025 after being truly up only for two years straight

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keccers pfp

ZERO exposure? Not even via retirement???????

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BrixBountyFarm 🎩 pfp

BrixBountyFarm 🎩

yeah we have relatively little exposure to direct markets either yet I do pay quite a bit of attention to them because of their impact on the economy as a whole and consumer sentiment. agree it seems unlikely 2025 continues the melt up fully yet I honestly don't know what to make of all the potential impact events including our new president.

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keccers pfp

My retirement accounts definitely have some exposure and I have a fuck around Robinhood as well where I DCA into $SPY I never in my life thought this was weird until now I prioritize always having a decent chunk of liquidity though simply for peace of mind. I literally pay my rent a month in advance for cushion in case something goes wrong. Loss of gains is always worth peace of mind to me, I am paranoid / not like I have 0 exposure

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matthewb.eth pfp

haha I don’t think it’s weird at all, your strategy is perfectly reasonable. I just haven’t had enough money (until recently) to consider putting it into indices like the S&P which will only yield ~10% on average per yr. I will never be able to retire with that sort of conservative risk tolerance. I feel like I have an edge in crypto markets, so feel pretty comfortable trading majors HTF instead. even if I miss the top/bottom by 30%, I’ll still wildly outperform trad markets YoY and after a few years of practice the volatility doesn’t bother me too much. I guess it’s “risky” but so is being too conservative and never getting ahead. medium to long-term would like to park a significant chunk of “safe” money in S&P and bonds though, so definitely understand your POV.

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keccers pfp

Oh, well I am operating under the assumption I will never retire anyway

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matthewb.eth pfp

I remain optimistic and will do whatever it takes

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keccers pfp

I will not. Outright shitcoining is against my morals for example

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matthewb.eth pfp

I’ve never traded microcaps, so relate with you there. mostly HTF on large caps as well as majors, which is relatively easy if you’re patient. harder if you want to rotate effectively. similar gains are basically impossible in trad markets because they’re much more efficient and less volatile. from an ethical POV I see large cap memes and majors as no different than most tech stocks, both are nearly entirely narrative driven. the latter just have a sprinkle of “fundamentals” thrown in that everyone plays along with.

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