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grin
@grin
if news sources had reported their predictions as a % rather than a binary "this will/wont happen", do you think @polymarket would still get this much hype?
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tldr (tim reilly)
@tldr
That’s a very interesting thought experiment. Of what polymarket’s core-est value prop is. I do still think polymarket would be differentiated even in this case in that (1) the % moves and (2) it is derived from a crowd rather than single source. (At the moment, I think people could care less that it’s crypto.)
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Garrett
@garrett
I think that would give polymarket even more hype bc news sources would essentially be speaking the exact same language that people betting on outcomes do
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Matt 🎩🍖🎭
@gk3345
They do with polls….but things become a hell of a lot more accurate when there is $$ at risk….thats why @polymarket matters and is relevant. People don’t lie when they have skin in the game
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Tayyab - d/acc
@tayyab
Hard to tell about if same level hype. But still valuable because one is the prediction of an expert, and the other is the prediction of the collective.
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TheModestThief🎩
@thief
tempted to say yes because you are shifting the paradigm of the masses (thinking/betting in probabilities) so you grow the entire prediction market vertical (Polymarket and its competitors).
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youssef
@yssf.eth
well the news doesn’t make predictions so not sure this makes sense
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