politics

Interesting exit polling data from Associated Press / Fox News

If you don't think Democrats at the party of the rich, maybe time to update your priors.

White college men 49-48 Trump
White college women 57-41 Harris

streams almost crossed with

Nonwhite men 59-38 Harris

THE INCOME CURVE HAS INVERTED

Under $50k Trump 49-48
$50k-$100k Trump 52-46
$100k+ Harris 53-45

Patrick Ruffini

Interesting exit polling data from Associated Press / Fox News

If you don't think Democrats at the party of the rich, maybe time to update your priors.

https://x.com/PatrickRuffini/status/1854067762517160308

Highlights from AP VoteCast / Fox News Voter Analysis

Men Trump 54-44
Women Harris 53-45

Not a historic gender gap.

52-46 among 18-29 year olds (!)

Trump wins seniors by 2.

Trump also won 18-29 year olds, whoa

https://x.com/PatrickRuffini/status/1854065571895119952

Party of the educated -> party of the elites

Less education -> party of the people

I guess elite preferences don't resonate with average American these days.

Upper income is 3x median so $200K.

Ultimately, educated rich people are more likely to be Democrats and less educated rich people, e.g. a successful plumber who owns a business are more likely to be Republican.

Democrats are the elite party.

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/04/09/partisanship-by-family-income-home-ownership-union-membership-and-veteran-status/

Good data on education and wealth here.

https://warpcast.com/dwr.eth/0xdec3a0c5

Party of the educated, which leads to wealth.

MAGA united people with less education.

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> $100K in the US is absolutely not rich

I don't think this is going to be productive.

There's rich, and rich.
Would be interesting to see a more granular breakdown by tranches for the $+100k. Depending on where u live, $100k in the US is absolutely not rich. Middle class, at best...

careful Dan, the woke liberals here aren’t gonna like this

Data would say that Republicans are poorer.

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Data would say that Republicans are poorer.

https://warpcast.com/dwr.eth/0xdec3a0c5

how many votes of difference under 50k? 49-48 looks very close.. 
trump captured a great amount of voters in the rural and ofc, people not happy with the economy, mostly not rich people, I guess..

anyway, both are parties of the rich people..

enzo's dad 🇬🇷 in LA 🌴 eng @ fanatics.live ⚾️ alexloukissas.com

Plenty of billionaire Democrats.

His incentive to grow the economy is it benefits everyone. The economy under the first term was doing quite well until COVID. If you disagree with that, you're in the minority (since the majority of people just voted for him).

Then what is Trump's incentive to grow the economy and make more people wealthy? Ofc the ultra wealthy will always vote red because they wanna remain ultra wealthy.

This has been the most interesting shift I've seen since 2016. I don't think Dems understand this.

i thought that was implied since 2016 when the college / non-college gap became most apparent

kind of more interested that that Bayistocrats are openly characterizing Elon's purchase of Twitter as buying the election tbh

Interesting how every time small counties always lean red and bigger cities lean blue

sometimes can even be a single big city that’s blue in an all red state

do people in bigger cities generally have different values? more receptive to mainstream news? more capitalist?

seems like it's correlating with that 
https://warpcast.com/baseddesigner.eth/0x0522e4e8

The Democrats and Republicans are the duopoly of the rich. They agree on the matters which are important to the Oligarchs: endless war, police state repression, authoritarian censorship, repressing the working class.

Priors might actually be education.

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/04/09/partisanship-by-race-ethnicity-and-education/

Related: 

https://warpcast.com/dwr.eth/0xdec3a0c5

Art, music, onchain data. Former Director of Research @coinmetrics

midcurve take. if dems are "party of the rich" then republicans are the party of the ultra rich 

good information ,honestly i thought trump lost 18-29 year olds, it shows people really tired of this gay world .