If Trump wins decisively, I’m never taking polls seriously again

building /bracket | talking /greatbooks | ex-BCG, ex-PHD | poli + phil + econ

I have a feeling this election will either validate prediction markets for elections vs conventional polling OR have the opposite effect

Working on Airstack.xyz 💜 Moxie.xyz Ⓜ️

I've seen enough elections to know sometime polls are spot on, and sometime they are dead wrong. Like polls, current prediction markets are biased by the groups that use them.

I've also been around long enough to know the winning president is never as bad as the losing side says they will be.

Appreciate the wise summary @boscolo.eth 🙏

I am but a humble Canadian eating 🍿 and watching