brad.base.eth

@b05

938 Following

122 Followers

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Parenting… Savor every moment. One second you are typing with one hand, sleep deprived, holding her in your other arm and the next you are thinking about only having a week to drive her to school each day. Pro tip: think about the very limited time you have with your teen and decide whether the anger you feel at any given moment is worth it. Love, Brad

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Yeah, I’ve backed him before even though he and I don’t see eye to eye on everything, but I do appreciate what he’s doing. Told him to check out @zora for a different monetization method.

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I’m trying out @tipn it lets you set an amount to tip every time you like a post. I just liked this post, so you should have received .10 USDC. Cool idea, because it could change how people think and act on social and potentially up the quality of content.

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Glad you are here. Same boat. 18k followers on X and the only engagement I get since criticizing musk and Trump is from people that follow with notifications on. Free speech my ass. I still post there, but primary use it to gather info on projects I follow.

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Doesn’t work on 49 inch monitor. Too far away.

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Yes, those with actual incomes are richer, but there is likely to be significant job losses across all industries. Can't see as the tech advances exponentially how there aren't. In addition as competition drives prices downwards, more companies will fail/be consolidated which results in even more layoffs and more focus on using AI to replace employees. Just don't think the supply system will be able to fill in the gaps rapidly enough and there will be shortages from even those that can. My expertise is obviously not in supply chains or manufacturing, so I could be completely wrong about supply chains, but as I mentioned even smaller disruptions of COVID had significant impacts on supplies and this I think will be much more widespread and impactful. A lot of uncertainty for everyone because so much of the world is interlinked.

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Companies will die because significant drops in revenue from consumers losing jobs to AI/robotics and because increase in efficiencies by AI creates a race to the bottom for pricing and companies that didn’t optimize don’t survive. Some winners will fill the gaps, but I think it happens so fast that chaos results in the supply chains because too many gaps at once. I’m admittedly making a lot of assumptions, but even the relatively minor supply chain disruptions of COVID seem to point to the vulnerabilities for me.

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Eventually, but initially supply chains won’t keep up/sustain because of holes where companies die or have shortages from other companies. Filling in the gaps is high risk and I think collapses will just make it worse. The ramp up to local/3d will take time and investment. Not sure timing on that if pre or post chasm to make up the holes in supplies.

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Yep, but I've been on this path for 2 years, but definitely should have looked beyond my mind. Thanks again.

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Thanks for the repost man!

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Love that and love all the knowledge you are dumping on me. I've been thinking about all this in my own personal vaccuum and that is just foolish. Really really apreciate you helping me to open to other thoughts on these topics. Lots to digest here, but thank you!

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This broke my brain a bit. Chart shows a typical $500K mortgage at 8% fixed. You’re mostly paying interest for decades. Equity only kicks in the last 7–10 years. Total paid: ~$1.2M. Interest alone: ~$700K. I get its pros but levering up into an illiquid asset in a post-ZIRP world .. ?? Pls help me make sense why this is sold as the safe and very normal thing to do.

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Thank you so much. Glad to be here as well!

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No I don’t. Please send.

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4/ [If Nirvana] * Especially with quantum, most disease and illness eradicated. * Lifespans will be dramtically increased with longevity science driven by AI. * Body part replacements will be common. * Humanity will start looking more and more like singularity predictions, but not required. * Energy solved. Hopefully no one company or country has control over the tech. * Climate solved * Creativity/art explodes. Real life performance and creation become incredibly valuable. * Space travel deep and near becomes normal * Expect there will at some point be a rotation of humanity for a desire to have real life existence experiences. Back to nature, etc * Focus on mindfulness is a likely outcome. * Much more peaceful world with bountiful supplies of everything humans need on demand.

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5/ [Keys to successfully getting over the chasm] * Suffering required. Nobody is going to take the chance to implement post capitalism existence until suffering. * Reject centralized AI. If not, then 1 or 2 companies control all of humanity or we lose control of AI and kill us all. * US govt must not be dependent on Grok/Musk for AI. Must be distributed and decentralized. There is a real risk that is already happening. If it does then AI dystopia of the movies is likely. * Avoid world war. Critical that resources are shared equitably or 1 or 2 countries will control all. Governments must secure their own & also work to secure others collaboratively * Humans need to plan now how to transition. If we do we can reduce future suffering. The problem is whether anyone will believe that markets will collapse. * Build up infrastructure globally to support AI. * Emphasis on freedom & independence including with AI. Systems that allow humans their own AI will prevent centralized control of mind & body.

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3/ [Eventually] * All markets collapse * Money loses all value We are now in what I call the Chasm of Chaos. * No leaders taking the difficult steps for a post capitalism existence. * Lots of chaos and suffering in the streets from food and medicine shortages * Most likely violence and crazed cults spring up * Countries will likely invade other countries to secure minerals needed for the tech * Additionally, there is a real chance that the incredible potential of AI is lost in the chaos and we have to rebuild it to get to potential nirvana Think that humans will figure out a way over the Chasm, but much suffering will ensue. On the other side is a nirvana of human existence.

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1/ Are we heading towards a Chasm of Chaos with AI? Someone on X asked for theories of change in the next few years. This is what I see as inevitable before we usher in a potential age of plenty… nirvana. [1-5 years] * AI, Agentic software, Robotics, Quantum tech, and 3D printing see exponential increases in effectiveness. If truly efficient and capable quantum is realized then this timeline accelerates dramatically * All 3 start eating eating away most jobs * Companies race to acquire other companies in their segments to stave off race to bottom on pricing as efficiencies dramatically increase. * Companies that didn't go 💯 in AI die off rapidly * Supply chain begins to shrink * Lack of income decreases global sales * Crypto becomes the defacto payment system

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2/ [5-10 years] * Markets begin to collapse * Governments attempt UBI and that works for about 5 minutes * Supply chains start to collapse * More localized & efficient and large scale 3d printing/robotics starts killing mass manufacturing * Shortages abound until can be compensated for locally with printing and robotics * UBI no longer works, because no revenue to pay for it and printing $$ loses power. The race to the bottom dynamic makes it worse.

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