brad.base.eth
@b05
1/ Are we heading towards a Chasm of Chaos with AI? Someone on X asked for theories of change in the next few years. This is what I see as inevitable before we usher in a potential age of plenty… nirvana. [1-5 years] * AI, Agentic software, Robotics, Quantum tech, and 3D printing see exponential increases in effectiveness. If truly efficient and capable quantum is realized then this timeline accelerates dramatically * All 3 start eating eating away most jobs * Companies race to acquire other companies in their segments to stave off race to bottom on pricing as efficiencies dramatically increase. * Companies that didn't go 💯 in AI die off rapidly * Supply chain begins to shrink * Lack of income decreases global sales * Crypto becomes the defacto payment system
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brad.base.eth
@b05
2/ [5-10 years] * Markets begin to collapse * Governments attempt UBI and that works for about 5 minutes * Supply chains start to collapse * More localized & efficient and large scale 3d printing/robotics starts killing mass manufacturing * Shortages abound until can be compensated for locally with printing and robotics * UBI no longer works, because no revenue to pay for it and printing $$ loses power. The race to the bottom dynamic makes it worse.
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Connor McCormick ☀️
@nor
Why do shortage abound if more efficient and localized large scale robotics and mass manufacturing begin to be able to compute? Wouldn't that increase abundance?
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brad.base.eth
@b05
Eventually, but initially supply chains won’t keep up/sustain because of holes where companies die or have shortages from other companies. Filling in the gaps is high risk and I think collapses will just make it worse. The ramp up to local/3d will take time and investment. Not sure timing on that if pre or post chasm to make up the holes in supplies.
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Connor McCormick ☀️
@nor
why will companies die?
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