Surprised by these
https://www.metaculus.com/experiments/elections/

In a world without the concept of luck would anything be different?

Just found out I now have 500 followers yay!

Got an ad on my Home Screen the other day. Apple fucked up

I made a thing

https://indexcast.replit.app/

copied @nor with the pfp refresh

also oops i couldn't upload my pfp earlier bc the dropbox folder where i had my pfp didn't sync (new computer 😅 )

a big problem in governance is in trying to get a sincere signal of preference — do people actually want this thing? should we permission its existence?

capitalism has a brilliant (if myopic) solution: you express your preferences by giving up assets you could have spent on *anything else* now or some other day

Tryna help humans coordinate. Just /yeet it. TANSTAAFL! https://bootleggers.wtf/

Accountability market. 

- Projects/builders post their assumptions, possibly with suggestions on what could prove that assumption wrong, aka prompts for researchers 

- hypotheses are then posted with references to which assumptions are feeding the hypothesis 

- anyone can stake value onto these posts to indicate how much it would be worth it to them to have the assumption vetted or the hypothesis tested

- prediction market style voting occurs on the legitimacy of assumptions and hypothesis creates incentive for people to be active in proving and disproving results

Something crazy like that. @nor prob has a better structure for this.

@trigs offered a pretty impressive summary of the negation game mechanics from memory

Decentralizing infrastructure with Kleomedes |

Building collaboration with Nearchos |

/octant Community Grants Council |

/colinks-and-co CoDAO Council

I sold my moxie today, I noticed that because I held some I felt defensive about it

financially I'm pretty sure this is a mistake, you should do your own thing and I hope the experiment continues, but it's better for my ability to think clearly

It was somehow hard to be on farcaster while casting felt financial

Why put numbers on feelings?

https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/27471/a-case-for-nuanced-risk-assessment/

is it awkward that garry tan doesn't fit in around here?
article mischaracterizes the opponent, language intends to be inflammatory rather than explanatory, he just cross posts doesn't actually engage in discussion

it's weird twitterbrain sewage leaking into our garden

I was contending that the OG tweet is uninformative because all it's measuring is the tendency for people to get more extreme in their affiliations as they age.

but I found this Pew data and I'd be willing to say that I'm completely wrong about that
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ymp1-QoUWOVGLts6n5g8q4Sxlbd9SUrbcCyOhsfEHoY/edit?usp=sharing

hey hi hello time for a little error eulogy to celebrate that I got to be wrong.I believed affiliation ossification was the cause of differences in democrat registration rates between age groups, but it looks like that's not the case

Working on Moxie at Airstack| airstack.xyz | moxie.xyz | hihi! 


@betashop.eth what's it take to auction my fan tokens?

The only problem is externality pricing.

Building https://negationgame.com

I would also add “helicopter mom” to the equation

heh when Bryan Cheskey does it he's in founder mode, when a mother does it she's a helicopter mom

the sooner you start the sooner you can iterate!

what makes farcaster special is that we have a norm of rejecting perfection in favor of iteration.

wawip not wagmi

You could do a version of this with gator.metamask.io where it doesn't cost a tx fee to "stake" (extend allowance). Allowance would have to be active to be visible, and the reader gets to determine when the "race" to withdraw begins, and so achieve good safety if they have a bundler they trust.

Transactional exchanges leave me cold. I’m into energy, emotion, messy decisions, uncomfortable situations, the sublime. Techno-utopian ideals will have us all reduced to 1s and 0s

@kelani are you still active on fc? 

I just ran across this amazing conversation we had 1 yr ago

Technologist, exhibition designer, collector, patron❣️Miami/NYC 🖇 Visiting Scholar at NYU IDM ✨Founder: TRANSFER.art 💾 building TRANSFER Data Trust

@kelani are you still active on fc? 

I just ran across this amazing conversation we had 1 yr ago
https://warpcast.com/kelani/0x71fe6dc8

Got more WhatsApp spam so I'm here to say this again:
A great pattern to prevent spam is to require a stake to send a message which can optionally be slashed by the recipients (where the tokens are destroyed).

Required stake size can vary based on account reputation and other signals