This week in Gell-Mann Amnesia

 https://i.imgur.com/JVyDZQC.png

Working on Farcaster and Warpcast. Longer thoughts at https://dwr.email

The thing is, you cannot expect Sacks, a lucker than won the Monte Carlo simulation, to understand how chance works within a population. If he accepted that, he‘d be aware that he contributed nothing to where he‘s at in his life.

that means nothing in Taleb‘s frame. And also, as you like to say: we can‘t rerun history to produce the counterfactuals. 
What if he didn‘t get to build PayPal? Would he be equally successful and attributed for it? Or was he just lucky?

Sacks helped build PayPal (among other things)?

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I appreciate a commentor that has read the books 🥰

It’s because he thinks he’s an Alpha a la Brave New World, as he tweets from his ivory tower, chowing down on soma as he gazes at the plebes in this failed technocratic plutocracy he once governed. Only Nero is Musk and Ancient Rome is Late Stage Capitalism.

Yeah, do you understand Taleb‘s point about Survivorship bias?

Founded Yammer (a unicorn) and was the coo of PayPal, but “contributed nothing to where he’s at in his life”?