This week in Gell-Mann Amnesia

 https://i.imgur.com/JVyDZQC.png

The thing is, you cannot expect Sacks, a lucker than won the Monte Carlo simulation, to understand how chance works within a population. If he accepted that, he‘d be aware that he contributed nothing to where he‘s at in his life.

Founder /kiwi-news, a decentralized Hacker News

Founded Yammer (a unicorn) and was the coo of PayPal, but “contributed nothing to where he’s at in his life”?

Isn’t the survivorship bias he is referencing David using the companies that survived, Google etc…, to prove his point? 

What does that have to do with David’s own track record?

Yeah, do you understand Taleb‘s point about Survivorship bias?

Is MS Teams what Yammer became? You don’t see Dick Costello tweeting like this!