Dan Romero
@dwr.eth
This week in Gell-Mann Amnesia https://i.imgur.com/JVyDZQC.png
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timdaub
@timdaub.eth
The thing is, you cannot expect Sacks, a lucker than won the Monte Carlo simulation, to understand how chance works within a population. If he accepted that, he‘d be aware that he contributed nothing to where he‘s at in his life.
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Dan Romero
@dwr.eth
Sacks helped build PayPal (among other things)?
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timdaub
@timdaub.eth
that means nothing in Taleb‘s frame. And also, as you like to say: we can‘t rerun history to produce the counterfactuals. What if he didn‘t get to build PayPal? Would he be equally successful and attributed for it? Or was he just lucky?
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