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Nick Tomaino🎩 pfp
Nick Tomaino🎩
@nick
Trump promotes Polymarket more than I do
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@thumbsup.eth
Don’t you think that would bias the results? Like if lots of his followers check it out because he talks about it and lots of other candidates followers literally have never heard of it, the results are kinda meaningless.
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Nick Tomaino🎩
@nick
Certainly possible. Markets are more truthful with greater liquidity and participants and when those are limited it can skew the odds. Even so, there is skin in the game and the participants who are wrong lose money. This makes markets with even limited liquidity more truthful than media imo
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I think there’s value in your concept here, in tandem with other info sets. Still I wonder, couldn’t trump just go “let’s throw $1M of our marketing budget at bets on polymarket to shift the narrative”
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Nick Tomaino🎩 pfp
Nick Tomaino🎩
@nick
Would take more than $1M but yes your point is a good one
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Right, sorry, I’m not familiar with the scale
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By the way, I have been intrigued by PolyMarket and the idea of markets sending signals. I built a little art project / game / experiment about it. It’s explained in the article below if you’re interested to learn how it correlates https://warpcast.com/thumbsup.eth/0xcb8f4a2f
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