Don’t you think that would bias the results? 

Like if lots of his followers check it out because he talks about it and lots of other candidates followers literally have never heard of it, the results are kinda meaningless.

exploring the intersections of technology, decentralization, and leftism • links: thumbsup.me • support: sub.thumbsup.me

Like many people invest money in losing sports teams and politicians. Them having skin in the game doesn’t really mean anything about them being right.

You must have thought about this, no?

I think there’s value in your concept here, in tandem with other info sets. Still I wonder, couldn’t trump just go “let’s throw $1M of our marketing budget at bets on polymarket to shift the narrative”

Certainly possible. Markets are more truthful with greater liquidity and participants and when those are limited it can skew the odds.

Even so, there is skin in the game and the participants who are wrong lose money.  This makes markets with even limited liquidity more truthful than media imo