Let's try a new experiment -- a standing Ask Me Anything -- ask me anything!

What’s your best hypothesis for the Fermi Paradox?

Skeptical optimist, prediction market enjoyer

The Great Filter theory, specifically what is called the Upper Income Trap -- once a civilization reaches a certain standard of living, approximately that of present day upper-middle-class Westerners, it stops reproducing and then dies out.

dev, armchair economist & crypto tea leaves reader - 

aspiring cult leader on /futarchy - 

https://twitter.com/nicovrg_



I am very curious to see what happens when we have embryos from stem cells + artificial gestation environments.

I dont see why this would be the case if it population shrink into oblivion. Either start reproduction, either clone, either solve aging

Both are unlikely in practice imo, because they make an N-of-N assumption.

If even one culture can keep fertility rates high while others go low, it will end up dominating population-wise.

If even one culture can continue to focus on the physical world while others go virtual, it will end up dominating militarily.

Curious if you had a rebuttal to this

https://warpcast.com/vitalik.eth/0x9a6c9cc4