skininthegame

Prediction markets have resonated with me since I started in crypto 12 yrs ago. It was initially bc I was a degen & wanted quick cash. Now I’m using prediction markets daily not to bet but as an info consumer to better understand the world.

Augur, Veil & others failed. Polymarket now working. How can we accelerate?

The stock market is a prediction market on the future value of companies, and it’s often irrational and inaccurate, especially around emotionally charged topics.

Won’t prediction markets suffer the same fate?

Technowatermelon. Elder Millenial. Building Farcaster. 

nf.td/varun

The difference imo is that prediction markets have a hard date on which they resolve, the sentiment of the market doesn't matter on that day, the truth does.
So you would expect people to actually answer the question x instead of "how everyone else feels about x"

20. hacking @ https://www.spire.dev/ 
previously intern Nethermind, epns.io

This is a good answer

The time preference of shareholders varies wildly

As does the composition of owners (active vs passive)