dumb question... does the tarrif sitch count as a black swan event or is it more of a storm thats been brewing so it's not as black swany

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Optimist. Nerd Sniper. Gratitude Circle Starter.

Creator of the Corrective Fitness protocol, A Focus in Marketing and Microbiology
Building /nomad-elite a digital nomad resort in Costa Rica

yes is it more so that a certain individual is said black swan that the actual event that took place? lol

😬 
Matter of perspective based on my understanding.

A. Policies/Debt/Regulation had to have been in place for such a dramatic action.

B. The dramatic action don’t have to take place so all the power and effect was in the hands of a single move/person.

Hard to say.

I would say the 08 crisis would not have necessarily been unforeseen if the right people paid attention/ethics & morality were used with discernment. Seems somewhat similar in that sense to the problem we're seeing today.

I’d say the latter because this administration has been very vocal on their intents and were just seeing the result of their actions. From what I understand of black swans is that they’re totally unforeseen events like Covid or 08 housing crisis

not a black swan but still a rare bird imo. brewed slowly for decades as we’ve racked up trade deficits. the tariffs attempt to unwind the specific amounts that we owe each country.

Not a black swan when we’ve heard “there’s a black swan coming” for over a year.