Greg 🎩

@gregory-1967

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1/ U.S. Global Policies and the Theories of Heartland and Rimland For the past century, U.S. global policies have revolved around Halford Mackinder’s Heartland Theory and its opposing theory, Rimland, introduced by Nicholas Spykman. Russia, in the Saudi negotiations, has demanded the annexation of all Ukrainian territories captured by Russia into the Russian Federation, even if it does not directly govern them. However, these territories must be officially recognized as part of Russia. Trump should not grant this concession to Russia so easily and should reduce Russia's dominance in the Heartland as much as possible. Let me explain further. 👇

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2/ Some believe the Federal Reserve is intentionally steering things toward a recession to burn off some of the pandemic-driven liquidity by crashing the stock market. But here’s the issue: this won’t really fix inflation—it just wipes out household wealth.

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1/ 🔻 New data shows that American households’ investments in the stock market have hit one of the highest levels in history. So, where’s the catch?! According to analysis by the 3Fourteen Research team, if the S&P 500 drops just 10%, about 12% of the entire U.S. GDP could vanish from household wealth—just like that! This level of loss has historically gone hand-in-hand with recessions—think the 2008 financial crisis, the dot-com bubble burst, or the economic chaos of the 70s. 📌 Every time this 12% shock to GDP has hit while the Fed was tightening (hiking rates and shrinking its balance sheet), a recession followed 80% of the time. If the Fed doesn’t act soon—or if the government doesn’t roll out tax cuts—we might be heading right back into the same mess...

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Hahaha, What do you expect from populist promises?

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Good job! Do not miss this one, guys!

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That's why we need politicians....

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You have to look at it from a big picture perspective to really grasp the depth of these issues. The U.S. doesn’t need the trust of European countries or NATO—it's always been the one keeping these unions afloat through various costs, shaping the global system to fit its own interests. But now, it needs to play a different kind of game to maintain its position against China and Russia, even if that means the current global order collapses in the process. This isn't about Iran specifically—but Iran does play a role in how the U.S. strategizes, and that role isn’t minor at all. It could actually become a key factor. Iran holds significant influence over part of the most important area of the Rimland from an economic standpoint. https://warpcast.com/gregory-1967/0x019a0fd1

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With the new Trump tariffs on the European Union and pressure from the Social Democratic Party, Germany will have no choice but to find new trade partners.

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📌 If we had succeeded on the first try, effort and action would have no meaning. ▪️ Maurice Maeterlinck

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Do you think a governance system that defines itself based on the strategies of Washington's strategists would allow Trump to make a mistake on such a scale? Even the smallest mistake could hand the initiative over to China. I’m not sure how much we agree on this, but the premise of the question above is that the overall policies of a country aren’t determined by a single politician — rather, the politician enforces those policies using various tools.

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Countries act based on their interests. What I find interesting is that some of Iran's interests in the Middle East align with those of the U.S., and having a controlled Iran is far more beneficial than a weak government in Iran.

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I’m surprised when some people say, "There’s a high chance the U.S. might attack Iran, and it could actually happen." The truth is, even the slightest conflict of interest between the U.S. and Iran doesn’t automatically mean war. The U.S. actually needs Iran as an active player to maintain balance in the Middle East. At the very least, Iran helps counter Turkish ideological influence. And without a strong and stable government in Tehran, the Caucasus region would almost certainly fall into chaos and war. Let me leave you with this quote from Obama’s book: "Iran was a constant adversary, but one whose interests occasionally aligned with ours more than we liked to admit."

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Now more than ever, I understand why Warren Buffett was cashing out his stocks. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-liberation-day-tariff-recession-b2726186.html

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https://www.wsj.com/economy/trade/tariffs-canada-china-mexico-explained-4d053ab7

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It's funny 🤣, The new tariffs have been imposed based on the trade balance deficit rate. https://www.wsj.com/economy/trade/tariffs-canada-china-mexico-explained-4d053ab7

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⭕️ The tariffs known as the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs, extensive duties signed into law by Herbert Hoover in 1930 on over twenty thousand imported products to the U.S., are considered one of the main causes of the Great Depression of the 1930s, the largest economic crisis in U.S. history.

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Among all the scenarios I expected where Donald Trump would impose tariffs on other countries, this was the worst one…

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All market's just crashed 🤣🤣🤣 Thanks Donald

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The tariffs that Trump is set to impose today are expected by Goldman Sachs to reduce economic growth by 0.5% and increase household costs by 3%. Additionally, despite the worsening trade deficit, retaliatory actions by other countries could significantly deepen the trade balance deficit. https://us.cnn.com/2025/04/02/business/liberation-day-trump-tariffs/index.html

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