Greg 🎩

@gregory-1967

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1/ U.S. Global Policies and the Theories of Heartland and Rimland For the past century, U.S. global policies have revolved around Halford Mackinder’s Heartland Theory and its opposing theory, Rimland, introduced by Nicholas Spykman. Russia, in the Saudi negotiations, has demanded the annexation of all Ukrainian territories captured by Russia into the Russian Federation, even if it does not directly govern them. However, these territories must be officially recognized as part of Russia. Trump should not grant this concession to Russia so easily and should reduce Russia's dominance in the Heartland as much as possible. Let me explain further. 👇

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1/4 What if I told you the Ukraine war is just a distraction — and Iran’s nuclear deal is the real prize? Let’s zoom out. Global powers shape foreign policy based on two old theories: Heartland and Rimland. These ideas triggered two World Wars — and they’re still alive today.

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China has ordered its airlines to halt deliveries of Boeing aircraft and stop purchasing parts. This decision could lead to a $1.2 billion loss for Boeing and cost the company access to a rapidly growing market—China—where the commercial fleet is expected to at least double by 2043. The unusual and extreme tariffs between the U.S. and China can't continue much longer. If this trade war drags on, it could lead to a complete halt in goods exchange. Such a situation isn’t sustainable for either China or the U.S.—a deal is near.

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Very short summary about Ukraine: Last week, General Cavoli, the commander of U.S. forces in Europe, shared some interesting info during his testimony before the Senate. He said Russia has lost around 4,000 tanks, 9,000 armored vehicles, 13,000 artillery pieces, and 400 air defense systems, with estimated human losses around 800,000. But the more surprising part was that Russia is now producing 1,500 tanks and 3,000 armored vehicles per year, plus 250,000 artillery shells per month. This suggests that hopes about Russia running out of Cold War-era stockpiles by summer 2025 — a belief shared among the OSINT community — might not actually impact the front lines.

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Join me on /megapot! Use my frame for 20% more points

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Almost the Best 😸

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1/ 🔻 New data shows that American households’ investments in the stock market have hit one of the highest levels in history. So, where’s the catch?! According to analysis by the 3Fourteen Research team, if the S&P 500 drops just 10%, about 12% of the entire U.S. GDP could vanish from household wealth—just like that! This level of loss has historically gone hand-in-hand with recessions—think the 2008 financial crisis, the dot-com bubble burst, or the economic chaos of the 70s. 📌 Every time this 12% shock to GDP has hit while the Fed was tightening (hiking rates and shrinking its balance sheet), a recession followed 80% of the time. If the Fed doesn’t act soon—or if the government doesn’t roll out tax cuts—we might be heading right back into the same mess...

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Hahaha, What do you expect from populist promises?

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Good job! Do not miss this one, guys!

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With the new Trump tariffs on the European Union and pressure from the Social Democratic Party, Germany will have no choice but to find new trade partners.

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📌 If we had succeeded on the first try, effort and action would have no meaning. ▪️ Maurice Maeterlinck

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I’m surprised when some people say, "There’s a high chance the U.S. might attack Iran, and it could actually happen." The truth is, even the slightest conflict of interest between the U.S. and Iran doesn’t automatically mean war. The U.S. actually needs Iran as an active player to maintain balance in the Middle East. At the very least, Iran helps counter Turkish ideological influence. And without a strong and stable government in Tehran, the Caucasus region would almost certainly fall into chaos and war. Let me leave you with this quote from Obama’s book: "Iran was a constant adversary, but one whose interests occasionally aligned with ours more than we liked to admit."

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Now more than ever, I understand why Warren Buffett was cashing out his stocks. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-liberation-day-tariff-recession-b2726186.html

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⭕️ The tariffs known as the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs, extensive duties signed into law by Herbert Hoover in 1930 on over twenty thousand imported products to the U.S., are considered one of the main causes of the Great Depression of the 1930s, the largest economic crisis in U.S. history.

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Among all the scenarios I expected where Donald Trump would impose tariffs on other countries, this was the worst one…

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All market's just crashed 🤣🤣🤣 Thanks Donald

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The tariffs that Trump is set to impose today are expected by Goldman Sachs to reduce economic growth by 0.5% and increase household costs by 3%. Additionally, despite the worsening trade deficit, retaliatory actions by other countries could significantly deepen the trade balance deficit. https://us.cnn.com/2025/04/02/business/liberation-day-trump-tariffs/index.html

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Are you ready???? $Buster The real FUN has just started. /politics

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#Quote It takes a person two years to learn to speak, and fifty years to learn to be silent. Ernest Hemingway

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e.g. This week, I'm going to run at least 15 miles. Higher ↑

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