Greg 🎩

@gregory-1967

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1/ U.S. Global Policies and the Theories of Heartland and Rimland For the past century, U.S. global policies have revolved around Halford Mackinder’s Heartland Theory and its opposing theory, Rimland, introduced by Nicholas Spykman. Russia, in the Saudi negotiations, has demanded the annexation of all Ukrainian territories captured by Russia into the Russian Federation, even if it does not directly govern them. However, these territories must be officially recognized as part of Russia. Trump should not grant this concession to Russia so easily and should reduce Russia's dominance in the Heartland as much as possible. Let me explain further. 👇

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James Comey is either so stupid that he didn’t know what he was posting, or he’s so stupid that he knew exactly what he was posting and still went ahead with it.

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After a long time, I finally got the chance to return to WarpCast — and this is the first thing I saw 😂

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Moody’s has downgraded the U.S. credit rating from AAA to AA1 — meaning not even a single agency sees the U.S. as having the highest possible credit anymore! Why? 🔹 A budget deficit nearing $2 trillion per year 🔹 Debt levels exceeding the country’s GDP 🔹 And interest rates that have skyrocketed the cost of government borrowing! Moody’s has projected that the U.S. budget deficit will hit 9% of GDP by 2035, with national debt expected to break even the World War II record by then! The Federal Reserve now has two choices: either accept that record-breaking debt or tolerate inflation above its expectations.

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NATO's outlook is weaker than ever. https://www.19fortyfive.com/2025/04/heading-for-divorce-the-ideological-war-threatening-nato/

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Israel's desperate attempts to sabotage the Iran-U.S. deal are pretty amusing.

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I sincerely hope the government puts an end to this madness. Who would have imagined that a country once considered the symbol of liberalism would, in the 21st century, revoke student visas simply over support for Palestine?

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The Middle Eastern countries’ thirst for continued development after years of war and sanctions has the potential to pull European countries out of recession and boost economic growth in both Europe and the US. The regime change policy in Syria, internal restructuring in Iraq, and the nuclear deal with Iran should all be viewed in this context.

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"The only man who behaves sensibly is my tailor; he takes my measurements anew each time he sees me. The rest go on with their old measurements and expect me to fit them." George Bernard Shaw In brain-based studies, there's a concept called "Anchoring Bias." It means that once our brain receives the first bit of information or forms an initial impression about someone or something, that impression becomes a kind of mental anchor. After that, it's really hard for the brain to let go of it—even if new evidence contradicts the original impression.

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A scientific study estimates the human cost of cutting U.S. foreign aid: over 15 years, such cuts could lead to the deaths of around 25 million people. This includes an additional 15 million deaths from AIDS, 2 million from tuberculosis, and about 8 million child deaths from various causes. And yet, total humanitarian foreign aid accounts for less than one percent of the U.S. budget.

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1/4 What if I told you the Ukraine war is just a distraction — and Iran’s nuclear deal is the real prize? Let’s zoom out. Global powers shape foreign policy based on two old theories: Heartland and Rimland. These ideas triggered two World Wars — and they’re still alive today.

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China has ordered its airlines to halt deliveries of Boeing aircraft and stop purchasing parts. This decision could lead to a $1.2 billion loss for Boeing and cost the company access to a rapidly growing market—China—where the commercial fleet is expected to at least double by 2043. The unusual and extreme tariffs between the U.S. and China can't continue much longer. If this trade war drags on, it could lead to a complete halt in goods exchange. Such a situation isn’t sustainable for either China or the U.S.—a deal is near.

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Very short summary about Ukraine: Last week, General Cavoli, the commander of U.S. forces in Europe, shared some interesting info during his testimony before the Senate. He said Russia has lost around 4,000 tanks, 9,000 armored vehicles, 13,000 artillery pieces, and 400 air defense systems, with estimated human losses around 800,000. But the more surprising part was that Russia is now producing 1,500 tanks and 3,000 armored vehicles per year, plus 250,000 artillery shells per month. This suggests that hopes about Russia running out of Cold War-era stockpiles by summer 2025 — a belief shared among the OSINT community — might not actually impact the front lines.

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Join me on /megapot! Use my frame for 20% more points

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Almost the Best 😸

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1/ 🔻 New data shows that American households’ investments in the stock market have hit one of the highest levels in history. So, where’s the catch?! According to analysis by the 3Fourteen Research team, if the S&P 500 drops just 10%, about 12% of the entire U.S. GDP could vanish from household wealth—just like that! This level of loss has historically gone hand-in-hand with recessions—think the 2008 financial crisis, the dot-com bubble burst, or the economic chaos of the 70s. 📌 Every time this 12% shock to GDP has hit while the Fed was tightening (hiking rates and shrinking its balance sheet), a recession followed 80% of the time. If the Fed doesn’t act soon—or if the government doesn’t roll out tax cuts—we might be heading right back into the same mess...

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Hahaha, What do you expect from populist promises?

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Good job! Do not miss this one, guys!

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With the new Trump tariffs on the European Union and pressure from the Social Democratic Party, Germany will have no choice but to find new trade partners.

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📌 If we had succeeded on the first try, effort and action would have no meaning. ▪️ Maurice Maeterlinck

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