What I think we will likely see in the near future! What do you think?

Should I put money where my mouth is? Betting on markets makes you think a lot harder about any single issue!

Should I put money where my mouth is? Betting on markets makes you think a lot harder about any single issue! https://warpcast.com/giu/0x4fa2291e

🇧🇷🇺🇸-  Book: Making Things Think: https://holloway.com/mtt. Investor in Wander, Carry, Footprint, Merkle Manufactory (Farcaster), Dynamic, Paragraph.

This is in Kalshi. Two consecutive quarters of negative GDP:

building @offmarket @perl | alum South Park Commons | previously cofounder SBLY.com, eng at Stripe | peter-kim.com

This is in Kalshi. Two consecutive quarters of negative GDP: https://kalshi.com/markets/recssnber/recession

assuming this is polymarket, how are they going to determine whether it's a recession or not?

What’s driving persistent inflation?

I’ve read a bit about single family home prices and rents staying high, but beyond that, unclear to me where inflation is showing up

Damn. I stare at all this consumer and SMB credit data at work and this makes me compelled to put some skin in the game

The market might be able to stay irrational long enough for you to lose this bet

That’s the whole premise of Annie Dukes title “wanna bet” 🙂

Don’t bet against the fed.  They print money, it’s an election year.