In you're in favor of "AI safety" (broad definition), what's your most compelling cast-length argument?

At fist automanufacturers made similar arguments against requiring seatbelts in cars. 

Imagine what we’d be saying about our great/grandparents if that line of thinking had prevailed.

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It took 60 years from Model T to first seat belt laws? So the technology was well understood.

Honest question, do you just not believe AGI is achievable?

Pragmatism (Security) at OP Labs.
Prev: ConsenSys & Coinbase.

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Chans: /eth-security /maurelian /stoicism




Let’s say: A single entity, as capable as the best human in any field.

1. What's your sense for how far off that is?

2. What's your sense that anyone has an accurate estimate for how far off that is?

3. Let's say that's achieved — what's the concrete risk?

1. IDK, probably later I imagine and sooner than you do. In 2020, did you expect us to be here with AI?

2. can we agree this is exponential progress? Estimating those is very error prone. 

3. infosec risks are massive and tangible without being hand wavy. Say a ransomware on 75% of transportation systems globally.