balajis
@balajis.eth
Some people think technological acceleration will bail out the current political order. We’ll grow our way out! Or so the logic goes. But did streaming bail out Blockbuster? Did smartphones bail out Nokia? Or did the Industrial Revolution bail out the monarchy? The growth did come. But so did the disruption.
11 replies
8 recasts
43 reactions
Dan Romero
@dwr.eth
Do you think LK-99 or equivalent breakthrough leads to increased power to status quo countries or more of an arm the rebels situation?
1 reply
0 recast
7 reactions
balajis
@balajis.eth
Exactly. You need to be extremely competent to ride a wave of technological disruption. Even then it’s hard. And what organizations have capable leaders that can ride the lightning? Global tech and Asian tigers. What organizations don’t? Western governments.
5 replies
0 recast
5 reactions
balajis
@balajis.eth
I’m thinking of Gates’s 1995 Internet Memo, Larry Page’s push for Google Plus, and Zuck’s turn to mobile in 2012. Some of the best leaders of all time had to make 90 degree turns while moving at 90 miles per hour. Many didn’t make it. Page, one of the best ever, lost social. Applies politically too.
1 reply
0 recast
5 reactions
kevin j ?
@entropybender
i would say even more difficult of a function is that each tech evolutionary wave (agi, lk-99, fusion, whatever) increases the overall competency required. so as more waves happen with higher frequency, western governments become more and more exposed to risk. competent, fast governments that match tech speeds will win
1 reply
0 recast
3 reactions
notdevin
@notdevin.eth
No free lunch either. We can’t just wait for our disturbingly geriatric leaders to die off, and then “we” get the reigns. If we’re so easily dominated and controlled that a 70yr old sock puppet can steer the ship the problem isn’t with the old leaders, they’re just the symptom.
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
sylvia
@sylvia
Curious about your thoughts on this? How do you think it will impact innovation in India? https://twitter.com/stevesi/status/1687185286525243393?s=46&t=MxNiOi-6ohpQPgRUkj3H5w
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
timdaub
@timdaub.eth
to me that somewhat feels like saying that if you‘re smart, you can get away with murder. Which might be true , but what people usually under-index on is how over powered the state is in terms of quantity and duration. They may be slow, but they‘ll get there eventually
0 reply
0 recast
0 reaction
