Founders

you either want to be *really* right or *really* wrong no in between

Corollary: exponential growth or no growth 

Linear growth doesn’t work for vc funded startups

Whether this is *good* is another question altogether but if you’re opting into the game, then you’re giving yourself a time horizon and the market better be pulling a product from you before you reach the horizon

Hofstadter's law 😅 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hofstadter%27s_law

And if you are doing the non-vc funding way, make sure you understand how long something can take... and then over-estimate both time and budget. And then over-estimate the over-estimate a couple of times

Curious your thoughts on this which is basically the counter-argument to this sentiment

My product went viral on social media but all I got were these shitty users

Product launches work differently in the age of social media.

Imagine that one day, you launch an app. Your new app is received well. A small trickle of users shows up, and they are loyal and loving.…

andrew chen

I think what’s unique about Farcaster is that it’s experiencing accretive growth

It will be slower than previous eras of consumer (bc the playbooks are all dead / saturated) but it has the potential to be more durable

I see this happening in the way adjacent communities join (eg. @mazmhussain’s journalist homies)

The counterpoint can be summarized as:

"If you generalize this rule more fully, you realize that traction works on an “Easy come, Easy go” basis. If users come slowly, and an audience is built over time, they are will have high retention. But when they come quickly and all at once, they will leave quickly too."

I agree with this and don't see this as a counterpoint as much as the word "growth" being defined poorly -- impressions without retention is not growth

If you have a superlinear growth curve but not exponential, then you just need more capital to last until the accretion becomes a juggernaut

Stay Curious // iixii // Lazer Technologies // Prev: CoinDesk, Roc Nation // based

The counterpoint can be summarized as:

"If you generalize this rule more fully, you realize that traction works on an “Easy come, Easy go” basis. If users come slowly, and an audience is built over time, they are will have high retention. But when they come quickly and all at once, they will leave quickly too."

I agree with this and don't see this as a counterpoint as much as the word "growth" being defined poorly -- impressions without retention is not growth

If you have a superlinear growth curve but not exponential, then you just need more capital to last until the accretion becomes a juggernaut

https://warpcast.com/androidsixteen.eth/0x983e819c

Curious your thoughts on this which is basically the counter-argument to this sentiment 

https://x.com/andrewchen/status/1884292311947051309

100%

Now *this* is a good PG essay ;)

https://www.paulgraham.com/growth.html