Ansgar's Ramblings

Polymarket Trump odds do seem a bit high. I just bought additional $1000 worth of Kamala shares at 35.4%. Seems +EV. Although of course chances are the market indeed knows better than me.

Ethereum protocol R&D. Admirer of emergent order.

So the thing is losing is not +EV. What makes you believe that Harris wins? Odds aside. Why do you play like that?

This is the alt account of Sister Hazel. Writings at https://powerlaw.systems. Building https://testnet.uvio.network. 

Oh I don't (necessarily) believe she will win! Just that as of this very moment, her odds are better than 35% to do so.

I similarly had a pretty large Trump position when his odds were at 45% a few weeks ago, because that seemed clearly undervalued. Then I exited that position (at a profit) as the odds swung.

Is there any more sites like this where u could buy both sides when odds are out of wack like trump 60 Kamala 35? Either way I just think Kamala has 0 chance personally but if u could hedge immediately buying both sides on different sites it makes sense