If Trump wins decisively, I’m never taking polls seriously again

building /bracket | talking /greatbooks | ex-BCG, ex-PHD | poli + phil + econ

these polls seem like the easiest way to manipulate public opinion  🙈

I thought that too, but the more I thought about it, the more I realize peoples money is way more important than their opinion

So the more I think sentiment is represented in a predictive market, the more money is at risk for that particular tactic 

The market has amazing way of correcting things like this