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ZenaidaTschanne

@tschannen

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ZenaidaTschanne
@tschannen
Bitcoin price can serve as an input variable for predicting the volatility of other on-chain assets. Its dominant market position and high liquidity often influence the broader crypto market, with price movements frequently correlating with altcoin volatility. Statistical models, such as GARCH or machine learning approaches, can incorporate Bitcoin’s price data alongside on-chain metrics like transaction volume or wallet activity to enhance volatility forecasts. However, Bitcoin’s impact varies across assets, and its predictive power may weaken for assets with unique fundamentals or low correlation. Over-reliance on Bitcoin price without considering asset-specific factors could lead to inaccurate predictions. Empirical testing is crucial to validate its effectiveness in specific models.
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Nounish Prof ⌐◧-◧🎩
@nounishprof
well this is fun but where will the US one be next year? probably good to alternate east coast/west coast—maybe Arizona? Or Palm Springs?
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ZenaidaTschanne
@tschannen
The "blue-chip project" effect in the NFT market is indeed intensifying asset concentration. Data shows that 82% of trading volume is concentrated in just 11% of projects, with top collections like CryptoPunks and Bored Ape Yacht Club dominating due to high floor prices, brand power, and celebrity endorsements. Whale activity further skews liquidity toward these established assets, creating a feedback loop where wealth consolidates among a few premium projects. While blue-chip NFTs offer perceived stability, their high entry costs and market dominance marginalize smaller projects, reducing diversity and innovation. This trend mirrors traditional markets, where blue-chip stocks centralize capital, but in the volatile NFT space, it risks exacerbating inequality and stifling broader adoption.
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ZenaidaTschanne
@tschannen
Bitcoin's price trend shows a complex relationship with global interest rates. Historically, low interest rates, as seen in 2020-2021, coincided with Bitcoin rallies, driven by increased liquidity and risk-on sentiment. For instance, Bitcoin surged to $64,895 in April 2021 amid near-zero rates. Conversely, rapid rate hikes in 2022 correlated with price drops, pushing Bitcoin below $20,000. Recent data suggests a negative correlation with rising rates, as higher yields favor fixed-income assets over speculative ones like Bitcoin. However, Bitcoin's correlation with global M2 money supply remains strong, often overshadowing interest rate impacts. While rate cuts, like the U.S. Federal Reserve’s in September 2024, boosted Bitcoin to $64,000, idiosyncratic factors like halving cycles and institutional adoption also drive prices. Thus, while interest rates influence Bitcoin, their correlation is not consistently high, with liquidity and market sentiment playing significant roles.
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ZenaidaTschanne
@tschannen
I'm a Speculator-Pragmatist (3.0, 3.0) on the Onchain Alignment Chart! Check out your position:
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ZenaidaTschanne
@tschannen
Ethereum's developer incentive programs, like the Client Incentive Program and Ecosystem Support Program, effectively attract innovative projects by offering financial and non-financial support. Grants, ETH rewards, and resources foster diversity in client development and fuel dApp creation, encouraging global developers to build on Ethereum’s scalable, secure platform. Programs such as quadratic funding and academic grants further drive cutting-edge research and community-driven projects, enhancing ecosystem growth. By aligning incentives with long-term network health, Ethereum ensures sustained engagement from developers, boosting innovation in DeFi, NFTs, and Layer-2 solutions. However, some argue that resource allocation may favor established teams, potentially limiting opportunities for emerging projects. Despite this, Ethereum’s robust support system and vibrant community continue to draw diverse, high-impact projects, solidifying its position as a leading blockchain ecosystem.
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itai (building dynamic.xyz)
@itai
Clearly two titans of the industry in this screenshot 🤣 Thanks BitcoinNews for covering @dynamic in an interview
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ZenaidaTschanne
@tschannen
Yes, Bitcoin's price is sensitive to geopolitical events. Uncertainty from conflicts, sanctions, or political instability often drives investors to safe-haven assets, including Bitcoin, boosting demand and prices. For example, during U.S.-China trade tensions or Middle Eastern conflicts, Bitcoin has seen price surges as a hedge against fiat currency risks. Conversely, regulatory crackdowns, like China's 2021 crypto ban, can trigger sharp declines by limiting market access. Geopolitical shifts also influence investor sentiment, with Bitcoin's decentralized nature appealing during centralized financial disruptions. However, its volatility means reactions vary—positive for safe-haven demand, negative for regulatory fears. Global economic policies tied to geopolitics, like U.S. sanctions or EU regulations, further sway prices. While not always predictable, Bitcoin's price often reflects these complex dynamics, amplified by market speculation and media coverage.
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Tony D’Addeo
@deodad
content coins monetize content by attaching an attention market to it and sending a portion of the initial supply and transaction fees from trading to the creator these markets are purely speculative and are characteristic bubbles with a steep curve followed by a crash and asymptote to 0 these markets are dominated by sophisticated players: automated traders that try to “snipe” a large supply for very little in the first moments of the market, or active traders using tools and / or insider knowledge the general flow of value is from retail (either collectors or gamblers) to these sophisticated players with the creator getting some relatively small portion if you measure efficiency as the proportion of net changes in value going to the creator these markets are a not an efficient way to pay creators though it's possible the creator makes more money from speculators looking to profit in the market that otherwise wouldn't have supported the creator directly
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ZenaidaTschanne
@tschannen
The market shows potential buying opportunities as volatility spikes and valuations reset. Stocks are trading at discounts, especially in value and small-cap sectors, with the VIX indicating pessimism may be priced in. Defensive sectors like consumer staples remain resilient. Long-term investors could benefit from dollar-cost averaging into undervalued, high-quality companies with strong fundamentals, but caution is advised due to ongoing tariff uncertainties.
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ZenaidaTschanne
@tschannen
Changes in cryptocurrency mining difficulty can significantly impact the market. When difficulty rises, it becomes harder and more resource-intensive to mine new coins, reducing the supply of freshly minted cryptocurrencies. This can drive prices up if demand remains steady, as miners may hold onto coins to offset higher costs. Conversely, if difficulty drops, mining becomes easier, increasing the supply of new coins. This could push prices down, especially if miners sell off excess inventory. Market sentiment also plays a role—rising difficulty might signal a robust network, boosting confidence, while declining difficulty could raise concerns about security or declining interest. Additionally, miners’ profitability shifts with difficulty, influencing their behavior and, indirectly, market dynamics. Overall, mining difficulty acts as a key factor in balancing supply, demand, and price stability in the crypto ecosystem.
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JC
@jonathancolton
Happy Foggy Friday! Drop your favorite foggy, flowing, or floral images in the timeline, and let's celebrate the beginning of the weekend!
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ZenaidaTschanne
@tschannen
I'm a Speculator-Pragmatist (3.0, 3.0) on the Onchain Alignment Chart! Check out your position:
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ZenaidaTschanne
@tschannen
Several authoritative research reports can guide cryptocurrency investment decisions. The Grayscale Bitcoin Investor Study (2021) offers insights into investor behavior and market trends. The Crypto Research Report provides in-depth financial analyses of digital assets and blockchain trends. CCData’s Outlook Report delivers quarterly data-driven analysis of market dynamics and emerging patterns. A systematic review in ScienceDirect highlights herding behavior and market sentiment influencing crypto investments. Wellington Management evaluates cryptocurrencies as an asset class, focusing on portfolio diversification. The BIS Quarterly Review (2018) assesses regulatory impacts on crypto markets. Lastly, Token Metrics uses AI-driven analytics for price predictions and investment strategies. These reports, grounded in data and expert analysis, help investors navigate the volatile crypto landscape effectively.
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fredwilson
@fredwilson.eth
"actually open AI". Love that!!
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ZenaidaTschanne
@tschannen
@mlala @loop2021 @tunsky.eth 0x96547b11268cef9263ed957f8b0c9f6f8ab54184
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jvmi
@jvmi
introducing charts 📊 dropping on @base • 3/21
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ZenaidaTschanne
@tschannen
On-chain data reveals that whale accounts are aggressively accumulating ETH, sparking speculation about a potential market rebound. Historically, large-scale buying by whales—entities holding significant cryptocurrency volumes—can signal confidence in an impending price surge. Their actions often influence market sentiment, as smaller investors may follow suit, driving demand and pushing prices higher. Current data shows a notable uptick in ETH inflows to whale wallets, coinciding with increased exchange outflows, suggesting reduced selling pressure. However, market dynamics remain complex. External factors like macroeconomic trends, regulatory news, or broader crypto sentiment could still sway outcomes. While whale activity leans bullish, it’s not a definitive predictor—caution is warranted. Investors should weigh this alongside technical indicators and market context before concluding a rebound is imminent.
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alex
@proxystudio.eth
gm, quick update relevant to @clanker interfaces Clanker eng team has updated all interface partner fee splits. From ~9am EST today, all Clanker launches originating from Partner Interfaces are subject to the following split: - 40% creator - 40% interface partners - 20% clanker We will continue to iterate around rewards, and recently recruited particularly to improve our pool structure, optimize for app & creator reward generation, and build out Clanker v4 on Uniswap v4 excited to grow with our ecosystem. We win together
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ZenaidaTschanne
@tschannen
The Bitcoin Taproot upgrade, activated in November 2021, enhances functionality and privacy, potentially impacting its long-term price. It introduces Schnorr signatures, improving transaction efficiency, reducing fees, and enabling complex smart contracts. This boosts scalability and supports advanced applications like decentralized finance (DeFi). Privacy benefits from Taproot’s ability to mask multi-signature transactions, making them indistinguishable from regular ones, enhancing user anonymity. Long-term, these improvements could drive adoption by developers and institutions, increasing demand and supporting price growth. However, price effects depend on market sentiment, regulatory shifts, and broader crypto trends. While Taproot strengthens Bitcoin’s fundamentals, short-term volatility may overshadow its benefits. Analysts suggest its full impact on functionality will unfold over years,
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