Prediction markets truly are a super valuable tool for making sense of events in real time.

Prediction markets truly are a super valuable tool for making sense of events in real time.

https://polymarket.com/event/sam-back-as-ceo-of-openai

Only missing information is the context for those moves 

Would be cool if you could propose articles/tweets to add to a timeline which could be displayed similar to pasting a tweet on a tradingview chart

Potential starting point

https://x.com/cHHillee/status/1728849798265258208?s=20

https://github.com/Chillee/ManiStories

you could even use a community notes-like mechanism for this

👍/👎 with a threshold weighted toward people who frequently disagree

+ a top-n to keep only the best notes that fit into the current chart view

just like online maps only show nonoverlapping labels at the current zoom

view news as a graph! i like this version of the future