Vitalik Buterin pfp
Vitalik Buterin
@vitalik.eth
Prediction markets truly are a super valuable tool for making sense of events in real time. https://polymarket.com/event/sam-back-as-ceo-of-openai
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Stephan pfp
Stephan
@stephancill
Only missing information is the context for those moves Would be cool if you could propose articles/tweets to add to a timeline which could be displayed similar to pasting a tweet on a tradingview chart
5 replies
0 recast
4 reactions
aneri.base.eth pfp
aneri.base.eth
@aneri
Prediction markets are valuable but sadly trading is not available in the US and some other markets, even on Polymarket after their $1.4M fine
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tldr (tim reilly) pfp
tldr (tim reilly)
@tldr
Could prediction markets incentivize anti-expected behavior? Eg: 1. Prediction Market launched about whether Person A will take Action X 2. “No Action X” is signaled (by others and possibly by Person A) 3. Person A loads on “Yes Action X” shares at very low price 4. Person A takes Action X & profits
1 reply
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Sean Wince 🎩 pfp
Sean Wince 🎩
@seanwince
Yes is still at 45 even though openai has a new CEO and Altman has officially joined Microsoft? What am I missing?
1 reply
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Prime pfp
Prime
@amazonprime
There's only a one-hour difference between these screenshots.
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Cryptopal pfp
Cryptopal
@khalsa
Makes sense
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tian7 pfp
tian7
@tian7.eth
I bet the price of eth will under 1500 eoy at polymarket on October
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Greggs pfp
Greggs
@berkeleyverse.eth
Spread is wide (5-20 cents) and liquidity is poor (~$100 per point) but f*ck it, with 95% of employees signing that letter I'm going to roll w it!
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Kelvin Truong pfp
Kelvin Truong
@kelvin-truong
Wow, literally bet based on the idea? Sounds weird but funny
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Prime pfp
Prime
@amazonprime
Are there specific features you would like to see developed to enhance the existing prediction market landscape?
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greyseymour.eth pfp
greyseymour.eth
@greyseymour
Never really got into Polymarket - looks cool, have heard of before. Any idea if they have an API? More curious about querying the data vs actually interesting. Could be cool for dashboarding purposes.
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