Throughout human history, most people could accurately visualize the future a decade or two out.

This is no longer true.

Today’s visions of the future are sandcastles, destined to be swept away in the surf of technological change.

Same.

farcaster://casts/0x8c9a9031ebb05f3474e78a60c2496c1f07fd19f773d9b17f3f4687a6fe2c5e70/0x8c9a9031ebb05f3474e78a60c2496c1f07fd19f773d9b17f3f4687a6fe2c5e70

been thinking about this in the context of parenting. part of your job as a parent is to prepare your kids for the world they'll be living in. imagining how that world will look is especially challenging today.

humans have always been bad at predicting the future

1733: John Kay enables one person to operate a loom 
1755: William Cullen invents the first artificial refrigeration machine
1597: Hans Stople invents revolver

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_historic_inventions

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“People don’t talk about the 22nd Century”—William Gibson

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxuYzagBmTpucRwVlSMurIFlsdtAx5JOEz