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proxy
@proxystudio.eth
I've lived in major american cities across the country for my entire life during that time period, crime has steadily declined. on the data side there isn't really disagreement about that. what explains the widespread sentiment that crime is rising? why do so many people believe that cities, in general, are overrun by crime and underpoliced? most interesting to me is that people across regions, demographics, political affiliation are extremely concerned about U.S. (national) crime & routinely think its worse than the year before. but those same respondents, again across the board, are far less worried about crime's seriousness in their local area. they still think its worse than before. it's almost accepted wisdom at this point. what explains the gap in data & sentiment? and perceptions of local crime (not bad but more than before) vs. national crime (bad & getting worse!)
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MJC
@mjc716
I go back and forth on this one, but there is at least anecdotal evidence that crime stats are frequently manipulated for political reasons (many different kinds). it doesn’t explain the full gap in perception vs reality but it probably is more prevalent than we think you can’t fake murder stats but you can massage everything else
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proxy
@proxystudio.eth
This is certainly contested data to some degree, and definitely many parties with incentive to report higher crime (police dept’s or other agencies that police, incarcerate or monitor people) and others have incentive to report lower. But this still feels more like a vibe issue. Most telling to me is the discrepancy in local “crime bad” vs national “crime bad” sentiment. It’s most frequently some other area people think crime is way up. And none of this is to like say there aren’t areas with bad crime!
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Future of Radio
@michael-smith
True, some cities do not report anymore. Also the St.Louis Fred crime charts can show intense localized crime spikes though over time it declines.
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