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Murtaza Hussain
@mazmhussain
I increasingly think it was a mistake for Israel to have assassinated Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh. While in the aftermath it gave an image of Israeli military prowess the strategic consequences are looking bad. Haniyeh was a political official not a military one, so his death doesn’t affect the war in Gaza. He will be replaced by a comparable figure. But although he was a hated enemy in Israel in the rest of the region he was considered a normal diplomat that had good relations with many states, including regional powers like Turkey. They are now infuriated, and many former enemies are putting aside differences in belief that Israel is a bigger threat than their mutual rivalries. There is an argument that revenge doesn’t need strategic logic but even that doesn’t work because Haniyeh personally had no role in October 7 and hadn’t been aware of it beforehand. The only real beneficiary of this act was Netanyahu, whose popularity has gotten a boost. And now there may be the big war we’d all feared.
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agusti
@bleu.eth
War was the mistake in the first place. They'll just keep making mistakes as long as they're at war.
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Chainleft
@chainleft
Worth noting that US is OK with this outcome given that they've increased military capacity in the middle east, and they have not criticised Israel on this assassination (or on anything else)
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Derek
@badadvicehq
You're right Murtaza, enemies seem to already have started putting aside their differences and turning allies just so they can wage war against Israel. I know Israel is a strong military country, but i don't think they're prepared for what's to come should these allies grow. My major fear is that we may be looking at a full blown WWIII, because Israel's allies will most likely butt in as well.
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Ed O'Shaughnessy
@eddieosh
“In 24 hours Israel has murdered the man with whom it would need to negotiate hostage release in the short term and political settlement in the long term, and a key figure in its most dangerous potential military enemy which has refrained from full on war. In doing so it has violated the territory, indeed the capitals, of two crucial regional states.” https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2024/07/the-israeli-terrorist-state/
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