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Murtaza Hussain
@mazmhussain
I increasingly think it was a mistake for Israel to have assassinated Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh. While in the aftermath it gave an image of Israeli military prowess the strategic consequences are looking bad. Haniyeh was a political official not a military one, so his death doesn’t affect the war in Gaza. He will be replaced by a comparable figure. But although he was a hated enemy in Israel in the rest of the region he was considered a normal diplomat that had good relations with many states, including regional powers like Turkey. They are now infuriated, and many former enemies are putting aside differences in belief that Israel is a bigger threat than their mutual rivalries. There is an argument that revenge doesn’t need strategic logic but even that doesn’t work because Haniyeh personally had no role in October 7 and hadn’t been aware of it beforehand. The only real beneficiary of this act was Netanyahu, whose popularity has gotten a boost. And now there may be the big war we’d all feared.
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Ed O'Shaughnessy
@eddieosh
“In 24 hours Israel has murdered the man with whom it would need to negotiate hostage release in the short term and political settlement in the long term, and a key figure in its most dangerous potential military enemy which has refrained from full on war. In doing so it has violated the territory, indeed the capitals, of two crucial regional states.” https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2024/07/the-israeli-terrorist-state/
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