A gut feeling is not the same as expertise. A hunch is not the same as research. Reading a headline is not the same as understanding a concept. But in our rush to make sure everyone has a voice, we’ve confused noise for nuance, volume for value.

https://www.joanwestenberg.com/have-you-earned-your-opinion/

sufficient experience and expertise in a specific area is often manifesting as a "gut feeling" or intuition, due to a phenomenon called "pattern recognition"

ask your hospital specialists, and why their training is so goddamn long. their whole purpose is to develop "gut feeling" based on extensive experience

The half life of skills keeps shrinking

Just within the last 30 days you have two major AI breakthroughs originating from China (Deep Seek and now Manus)

By the time my kid is of college age it's going to be an entirely different set of skills needed in the world, it might be the case that intuition becomes more valuable than hard skills

Intuition requires you to quieten your mind and infer things from uncorrelated information, figure out the right questions to ask or hypothesis to test and let AI do the rest

https://manus.im/

✳︎ design engineer → @ponder 
✳︎ explorer of humanism • petrolhead/gearhead
✳︎ React/SwiftUI
✳︎ bento.me/matthew

Related https://warpcast.com/vinayvasanji.eth/0x8cfc0611