skininthegame

this should be an important polymarket event

One observation about Polymarket is that most of the things you can bet on are relatively short-term. The longest term bets I've seen are things like "Will _____ happen in 2025?" It would be interesting to see some longer term bets like 3-5 year or even decade away predictions. "Will _____ happen by 2030?"

I think we can still swing the vote in Germany towards AfD 🫢

(There’s totally gonna be many more interesting bets in the future where swinging a vote costs less than what you make in markets)

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Super long term bets only make sense for very high value bets. But don’t know many that want to engage in them. If you bet on x market outperforming, you can also get a different exposure too