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tldr (tim reilly)
@tldr
If Trump wins decisively, I’m never taking polls seriously again
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jtgi
@jtgi
Hilary was a 75% favorite on election night according to fivethirtyeight in 2016.
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tldr (tim reilly)
@tldr
Was a huge moment of skepticism for polls. But some good actors (eg Nate silver) argue that it was because of problems in how they collect info, not more systemic problems. So I didn’t write them off entirely… then.
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