Hypothetical: if they held the US presidential election tomorrow, who do you think would win? (Note: not who you want to win, but if you had to bet.)

Prediction markets as an input 

85% chance Biden is nominee
https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n

47% chance Biden wins (dipped under 50% for first time in a while in early December)

Prediction markets as an input 

85% chance Biden is nominee
https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n

47% chance Biden wins (dipped under 50% for first time in a while in early December)
https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres

Is this a real money prediction market? Most I've seen look like this