creating and destroying; built flying cars & autonomous vehicles, now building /faust, more here: /july, web: july.rocks

What's a hypothesis we could test for, that would be true if your model of AI researchers is correct, and false if their p(doom) values actually are well-considered?

eg. one that comes to mind is: in your model, an individual researcher's stated p(doom) should be very volatile week by week. Is that true in practice?

/me reading Vitalik's cast, which I understand and agree with, then comparing the quality to my latest "Where's Hammy" cast. I think I need to work on my cast quality.

Husband, dad, dev. @dune.eth wizard.

⭐ DEGEN Tips FAQ: https://paragraph.xyz/@rjs/degen-tips-ultimate-faq-v8 ⭐

Not financial advice. Not a KOL.

Do you think a comedian looks at a politician and thinks “I need to be more like them”. This is the beauty of Farcaster and channels. We post what is appropriate to the channel and don’t have to pidgeon hole ourselves into a category. On Twitter I have 4 accounts which all cover different topics. This is not required here. We just need to give users the ability to mute specific channels.