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Jared Hecht
@jaredhecht.eth
https://frame.weponder.io/api/polls/24294
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Gabriel Ayuso
@gabrielayuso.eth
They'll still be around but they won't get the attention they're getting right now unless they're able to get into the sports market which is more evergreen than elections.
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tldr (tim reilly)
@tldr
100000000% yes — super high conviction on this There’s tons of speculations that will capture public attention (a lot of them political), and dropping a polymarket into a Substack is a form factor that can stick amongst news nerds. And this will leak into more and more mainstream convos from there
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Ben Adamsky 💭
@ba
More novel types of prediction markets will emerge once the usecase gets more established in the market Different types of oracles, variations of public and private, social and single player, etc
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Ben - [C/x]
@benersing
Likely. In what way, depends. If they’re right about the outcome, they’ll take off like a rocket. If wrong, it’ll be relegated to a novel way to gamble.
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Alex Miller
@alexlmiller
They’ve been a thing for years before, no reason they’ll go away now there will be countless articles written in the couple weeks after about whether they were right or wrong aimed at reinforcing people’s priors. Some of the hype will dye off, but that’s just a normal cycle.
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Ponder Surveys
@survey
💭 Poll has ended after 48 hours and received 57 votes. View the results here:
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Terry Bain
@terrybain
Yes but we might have a better idea just how flawed they are.
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Evan (POAP Guy @ Farcon) 🧾
@evangreenberg
At the very least, there are elections every two years
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