basil
@itsbasil
why i think the next 6 months are critical: > first time since btc inception (nearly 20 years ago) that we’ve had crypto regulatory clarity; charles is already in there; it will get increasingly weird & quickly > trump’s first 6 months in office will move fast & will be focused on domestic issues; the legislation that will become law here will be fought by the democrats for the next 10 years (window of opportunity) > after 6 months, geopolitical tensions will rise; iran will be forced to defend; if trumps makes a move, china will capitalize on taiwan, russia on ukrain; economic issues will flare, trump will start firing his cabinet, the fed will lower rates to nothing, tradewars will clash with legislation, instability will rise > after 6 months, the economy will begin to breakdown; we’re 4 years into a crypto bull run; nearly 15 years by stocks measure; fed will run out of tools to prop; ai replacements will materialize; tech boys in cabinet will war with unions
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basil
@itsbasil
> 6 months of stability, then the back half of 2025 is when it starts to get weird… stranger than fiction; cancel culture resurfaces; culture wars get hostile; global wars & a domestic event catalyzes chaos; ai plays a major role in division; social media creates hive minds akin to 2020 > musk continues to ruin & divide X; as a result, new social networks come online; this time, with niche catered interests; the left drain to bluesky; new pockets of the internet emerge; every community finds a ~home~ (window of opportunity for fc) > crypto will continue its fragmentation; more app specific chains will launch & more user specific apps will follow; solana will find their network; hype, their network; even pudgy’s, their network; lens will deploy their new raise & finally find success with a token; from fc’s pov, ua will become insanely challenging from 2025.5 onward
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OTTI🎨🖌🎩
@zeuzc
In summary this bull will be a short one so companies that can build stuff that will last the next bear should do so in haste
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JB Rubinovitz ⌐◨-◨
@rubinovitz
What do you think are the second order effects of this being the consensus view?
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Dvyne🎩
@dummie.eth
So after 6 months we’re downbad What’s the plus side of things after that?🥲
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Jeff Excell 🎩
@jeffexcell
Remind me of this when it’s turns out to all be wrong
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