as many people are saying, polymarket wasn’t more accurate than polls in 2020, it got it wrong. less people used it but also less weird money trying to manipulate it

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still don’t understand what you mean by “got it wrong”.

uspolitics

Polymarket was favoring Trump up to election day in 2020, while polls favored Biden (I remember cus I made $ on it).

It will probably be more accurate now that the liquidity is larger, but there is a strong bias toward republicans in crypto prediction markets.

Alabama had a 85% chance to beat Vanderbilt before Saturday’s game started:

did “polymarket get it wrong”?

i'm remarking about what Elon said, that Polymarket is more accurate than polls, which in 2020 almost all had Biden winning. it was wrong.

idk how it was “wrong”

If you bet on Biden your shares went to $1.

If you bet on Trump your shares went to 0.

if you're going to quibble with me about what 'wrongness' is you should be doing the same with Elon and others about what 'accuracy' is. as it was far less accurate last go around.

it was less accurate, less correct, more wrong than the polls Elon claims it's more accurate than.